So, curious about Josh Allen and what to expect next year, I went looking for players with a similar rise:

1) 500+ pass DYAR
2) improved pass DYAR by 1000 or more
3) Year 2, 3, or 4

(1/x)
There were 10 QB with similar jumps to Josh Allen 2020. Four went on to have very good/great careers: Aikman, Brees, Everett, Palmer.

Collins had a long but very inconsistent career, but his 1996 was the lowest DYAR of the comparable seasons. Not that comparable. (2/x)
More comparable jumps to Josh Allen 2020:

Goff was very good again in 2018, then average in 2019-2020.

Wentz was average in 2018-2019, then crashed in 2020.

Nick Foles was a one-year scheme wonder. Fourth-round pick. Not really comparable. (3/x)
The last two comparable jumps to Josh Allen 2020:

Josh Freeman was a one-year wonder. There's a whole psychological story there. Not really comparable.

Dak Prescott's rise in DYAR was 2019, so TBD. (4/x)
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