1/
A footnote to yesterday's Drakefordgate that's being overlooked....

Wales has consciously moved away from the recommendations of the Joint Committee for Vaccinations and Immunisation (JCVI) instead it prioritised care home workers, and (largely) healthcare workersworkers
2/ We know this because a memo from Len Richards, CEO of Cardiff & Vale Health Board, that states this:-
3/
We know that this policy has been enacted as the Board has issued updates on its Twitter feed

Incredibly, on 11th January, @CV_UHB has only set aside 1.1% of the vaccines administered to those over 80 PLUS those resident in Care Homes

https://twitter.com/CV_UHB/status/1348664155272847365?s=19
4/
Since then, the situation has improved. Although the Health Board had managed to vaccinate a further 1,682 healthcare and 445 social care workers 2 days later, only a further 364 vulnerable persons had been vaccinated leaving them at extended risk of contracting Covid 19
5/
Since then, a further 3,555 healthcare and 1,378 social care workers have been vaxed. But only 2,843 vulnerable persons.

Overall just 13.6% of vaccines have gone to these groups. We know that overall England has allocated 56% of its vaccines.
6/
Why is this important?

A look at mortality data for Wales paints a dismal picture.

36% excess deaths in Care Homes since the end of October. That doesn't include care home residents who may have been transferred to hospitals, and then sadly died.

https://wintoncentre.maths.cam.ac.uk/coronavirus/covid-excess/
7/
And then the kicker....

@Join_ZOE produces covid reports based on 4.5M participants reporting their health. It has proved a highly predictive indicator of health (or not)

Todays report has highlighted that the over 60 community in Wales continues to see increased rates
8/
Wales is the ONLY area of UK at national or regional basis, where rates are ⬆️ in this population group.

While correlation doesn't equal causation, given that Wales is 3 weeks ahead of the rest of UK, and all its other cohorts are ⬇️ , it does stand out as unusual
9/9
This is a cataclysmic error of judgement by Welsh Government and Public Health Wales

We will seemingly continue to pay the price for this for weeks to come , whereas hospital admissions in England are falling, and hopefully amongst the vaccinated community in particular.
You can follow @Gareth_Jenks23.
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