A beginners guide to gaming NFTs:

"How do I evaluate game NFTs and its game economy?"

Let's explore! 🧵👇
1) đź’ˇ How to evaluate game NFTs?

Present Value =

Future Resell Value
+
Expected Rewards
+
Speculative Future Utility

-> "Expected Rewards": PVE item drops, PVP prize money, etc.

-> "Speculative Future Utility": More games / products using the same NFT
2) Let's have a look at some examples:

- @SorareHQ Cards
- @mycryptoheroes_ Heroes
- @AxieInfinity Axies
3) @SorareHQ

Card NFT Value =

Expected returns ( e.g. tournament winnings)
+
Speculative returns (Sorare offering more games)
+
Speculative collectible value (mainstream collectors joining)
+
Speculative utility of IP (e.g. all CR7 Super Rare card holders get season passes)
4) @mycryptoheroes_ @mycryptoheroes

Hero NFT value =

Speculative resell value
+
Expected PvE returns (farm items)
+
Expected PvP returns (win items by ranking high)
+
Speculative future utility (use MCH hero in @bfh_global / @mycryptosaga_ / @cryptospells_en)
5) @AxieInfinity

Axie NFT value =

Speculative resell value
+
Expected daily $SLP rewards
+
Speculative PvP season rewards (= rank high)
+
Speculative future utility (e.g. land gameplay)
6) đź’ˇ How to maximize ROI?

You can think of game NFTs as buying a "subscription for future rewards".

Game NFTs need to be played with. If you hold game NFTs but don't play the game, you're leaving $$ on the table.

This is especially true for more play2earn games like Axie.
7) It's easy to get a positive ROI during a game's growth period.

But as soon as DAUs are stagnant, you need to play the game to achieve a positive ROI.
8) đź’ˇ How to evaluate NFT game economies?

When looking at a game NFT ecosystem, ask yourself:

"Is this game sustainable *without* new players coming in?"
9) Evaluate the "flow of value" inside a game:

- How do future minted NFTs (= rewards, future releases, etc.) affect my current NFT value?

- How do new players affect the ecosystem? (= demand for NFTs, reward inflation, etc.)

- If players leave the game, does NFT value drop?
10/10) Game economies are complex and get even more complex when coupled with the real world economy.

Best advice to learn: Play the games, actively trade NFTs, and join the discussions on Discord. 🎮 https://twitter.com/coin_artist/status/1351009436446429189
You can follow @marnold_mch.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

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