Read on Twitter
Only 9% think rules are too strict in current conditions; yet 7% believe the entire Covid pandemic is "invented". Scarcity of lockdown sceptics who are not conspiracists & cranks (since new strain) may explain why those who deny there is a pandemic dominate in the sceptic market https://twitter.com/benatipsosmori/status/1350803681839640576
7% of crank conspiracists is more "stable" than policy views (adjust to cases, curve, deaths, advice). What seems to happen with Lockdown 3 is this segment of crazy people was half of Lockdown Opponents (7% in 14%) but now about three-quarters of them (7% in 9%).
Deepens how "Lockdown Sceptics" have big reputation (partly crazy conspiracists; partly flawed predictions & analysis of more mainstream voices)
But the moment for mainstream sceptics may come this Spring. Maybe only supporters of lockdown 1 & 3 will be credible future sceptics
But the moment for mainstream sceptics may come this Spring. Maybe only supporters of lockdown 1 & 3 will be credible future sceptics
Not just yet, but for the post-Easter debate, perhaps we should put out a public call to find some new "Lockdown Sceptics" who are actually Sceptics.
Previous applicants need not apply https://twitter.com/sundersays/status/1348658307356094465?s=19
Previous applicants need not apply https://twitter.com/sundersays/status/1348658307356094465?s=19
Maybe you don't *have* to be crazy to oppose lockdown 3 (or indeed phase 1) but (empiricallly) it certainly seems to help.
If you get Lockdown Scepticism (relax rules faster than current policy) to 25-30%, the Denial/Conspiracy component becomes a quarter of opponents, not three-quarters as now.
At that point, expect a rational mainstream scepticism (primarily of reluctant supporters of L1 and L3)
At that point, expect a rational mainstream scepticism (primarily of reluctant supporters of L1 and L3)
