A patient comes into your office with chronic pain. You send her for an x-ray to look for arthritis.

The report comes back: the knee ā€œlooks okā€

But what if the radiologist missed something?

What are radiologists looking for anyway?
What we know about arthritis on x-rays comes from studies like this one:

Coal miners and office workers in Manchester, ca 1950

(No need to comment on gender/ethnic breakdown of study population… when it’s all the same!)
So radiologists might miss causes of pain— because they aren’t described in medical knowledge.

Could this be a job for an algorithm?

Maybe, but one problem.

We usually train algorithms *to match human performance*, e.g. this (great) paper

Exactly what we don’t want here!
What if there were a different way to train the algorithm?

L̵e̵a̵r̵n̵ ̵f̵r̵o̵m̵ ̵t̵h̵e̵ ̵r̵a̵d̵i̵o̵l̵o̵g̵i̵s̵t̵

Listen to the patient

We train the algorithm to predict the *patient’s pain*, not the radiologist’s read
This cuts the unexplained pain gap between Black and White patients by 43%

Notice this isn’t ā€˜affirmative action’

The algorithm does a better job *finding things in knees that hurt*

Previously unexplained symptoms are just more common in Black patients
Back to the patient in your office:

You miss the problem in her knee—so you don’t consider things like knee replacement.

But if the problem is in the knee after all, the patient loses out.

More Black patients lose out for this reason.
We like this paper because it shows that algorithms can fight bias:

Here, the unsuspected bias built into medical knowledge,

because of how medical knowledge is built.

So algorithms can help…
I also like this paper because I got to work with @2plus2make5, who led the research.

Please check out her many other wonderful papers on health + ML + policy, here!
https://cs.stanford.edu/~emmap1/ 

(for the record, @Cutler_econ @jure @m_sendhil are great too)
You can follow @oziadias.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword ā€œunrollā€ to get a link to it.

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