Here is a thread regarding a severe weather event that I cannot stop thinking about:

Please consider giving the whole thing a read :)
I know they say don't dwell on the past, but I just can't help but think back at least once a week on what was versus what could have been regarding the high risk event on May 20th of 2019.
With the ultra-rare 45# tornado risk, near-doomsday-level wording in outlooks and MCDs, the consistent model runs showing waves of supercells, and seemingly near-perfect atmospheric conditions, it looked as though Texas and Oklahoma really dodged a bullet when the event busted.
With the ultra-rare 45# tornado risk, near-doomsday-level wording in outlooks and MCDs, the consistent model runs showing waves of supercells, and seemingly near-perfect atmospheric conditions, it looked as though Texas and Oklahoma really dodged a bullet when the event busted.
With the ultra-rare 45# tornado risk, near-doomsday-level wording in outlooks and MCDs, the consistent model runs showing waves of supercells, and seemingly near-perfect atmospheric conditions, it looked as though Texas and Oklahoma really dodged a bullet when the event busted.
With the ultra-rare 45# tornado risk, near-doomsday-level wording in outlooks and MCDs, the consistent model runs showing waves of supercells, and seemingly near-perfect atmospheric conditions, it looked as though Texas and Oklahoma really dodged a bullet when the event busted.
But no matter what, I can never stop thinking about the Mangum supercell.

In a Tweet a few months back, I highlighted how the HRRR kinda-sorta got it right with the positioning of the cell. https://twitter.com/Brando_WX/status/1325879376391581697?s=20
I'd just like to point it out again:

Mangum was an interesting depiction of what we could have been looking at at a much larger scale had that event verified to full.

Longish-track, wide, potentially violent-at-peak monsters from powerful supercells all over the place.
Luckily that was a sort of outlier when looking at the tornado count from the day.

Only a few other SigTors occured that day, including the HE-EF3 near Odessa and the Massive Peggs EF2.
Luckily that was a sort of outlier when looking at the tornado count from the day.Only a few other SigTors occured that day, including the HE-EF3 near Odessa and the Massive Peggs EF2.
Luckily that was a sort of outlier when looking at the tornado count from the day.Only a few other SigTors occured that day, including the HE-EF3 near Odessa and the Massive Peggs EF2.
Could we have been looking at a generational-type event in the Southern Plains that day? Maybe.

Will we ever know for sure? Who knows.
Well it may not seem like it, there probably will be big tornadoes and outbreaks on the Plains once again someday. But until that day comes, it's always fun to think back and reflect on past events.

#NeverStopChasing
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