//THREAD\\\\ Deebo Samuel —

By popular demand, Deebo is my next injury project for this offseason.
The polarizing YAC 👑 is in FF purgatory right now. Managers don’t know if they should sell or hold.

Let’s take a look from an injury perspective.

1.01 Tua
1.02 Deebo https://twitter.com/jmthrivept/status/1344075827164585984
🚨Hamstring Injuries:
First off, check the video here.
Muschamp states, “This started in high school for him..” referring to Deebo’s hamstring injuries.
I was unable to find any documented HS hamstring strains (which side was involved), but this is important.
Since chronic... https://twitter.com/RLeCompteTV/status/778323877264891905
..we have to consider that Deebo may very well end up dealing with tendinosis, or degenerative tissue.

Documented HS strains+ how long he was out:
•2015 (7 games)
•2016 (3 gm)
•2020 Wk7 (3 gm)
•2020 Wk14 (last 3 gms)

Noted, Deebo recently said that he’s still healing from..
..the most recent HS strain (interview 1/4/20).

Concern level: Moderate.

It’s well documented that reinjury rates of HS strains ⬆️ from 22-34% if not higher with every recurrence.

•Deebo has stated this is his offseason focus, to properly train..

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3362981/#__sec6title
..his body to sustain the workload of the NFL over a season.

We saw something similar w/ Randall Cobb, who dealt w/ chronic HS injuries in his career but finally had a HS-injury-free season in 2019 after changing his training.

One can hope this is what Deebo does this..
..offseason.
I’m not reading into 2020 as much, given we expected a rise in soft tissue injuries (esp those with prior injuries) due to the short camp/COVID factor.

If Deebo trains well this offseason, he can put these recent HS strains behind him.
🚨Fibula Fracture:
2017, surgery to repair a fractured distal fibula. Missed final 10 games of his Junior Yr.

No long term concern here. These typical heal well upon repair.
🚨Jones Fracture:
June 2020. Costed Deebo all of camp, as well as the first 3 games of 2020. The long term re-injury risk significantly drops if the player waits to return to sport until at least 10 weeks. Risk drops further once you get to 12+ weeks post-surgery.. https://twitter.com/jmthrivept/status/1304882675832877056
.. Deebo returned roughly 15 weeks post-surgery.

I believe he/49ers did it the right way, allowing the repair to fully heal, with low risk of long term reinjury of his Left foot.

I am more concerned about the hamstrings than I am the foot or fibula.
• Deebo Samuel = YAC 👑
It is PRETTY DARN ridiculous what Deebo was able to accomplish this year in YAC, considering he only played 7 games (& 1 of those games included just 1 snap before leaving with his 2nd hamstring injury).

As a 49ers fan, I study them the most of.. https://twitter.com/PFF/status/1336755255615381505
..all of the NFL teams.

My future projections:
•George Kittle receives 6-8 Tgt/Gm
•Brandon Aiyuk leads the team in targets overall, but may disappear a few games = Alpha WR

•Deebo Samuel:
Manufactured a minimum 5 touches per game (rushes, slants, behind LOS targets, etc)..
..Deebo is Shanahan’s X-factor. The player who he wants to get the ball in his hands & just let him work.

He can do a lot with a little.
This is where I see the offense going.

If QB is Jimmy G = Offense is capped
If QB upgrade = Offense 📈📈

Just. Get. Him. The. Ball. 👇🏼👇🏼 https://twitter.com/dynastyskyler/status/1349586669385768962
🔷Summary: Deebo Samuel

❌Injury Concern:
•Hamstrings — soft tissue injuries = re-injury risk
•Recurrence rate with long history of hamstring injuries (HS, College, Pros) presents risk
•Might miss 2-3 gm/yr

(1/ )
🚨Dyno Stance: Hold/Acquire
•Deebo is a perfect WR3 in Dyno. Prepare for him to miss a few games. Steady production in games he plays.
•He is CHEAP rn

🔷Deebo has stated that this yr taught him about keeping his body healthy. He’s putting in work this offseason. Bank on it.
🚨Trade Talk:
If anyone is willing to sell Deebo for a mid- to late-2nd or less, I’d jump all over that.

DLF has some recent trades of Deebo for 2021 1st.. not sure I’d give up a chance at the Top5 rookie WRs over Deebo.

If the price is right, go get him as a WR3.
You can follow @jmthrivept.
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