Game Theory Thread for the Sony Open

$9,500+ Range

Ownership seems reasonably flat, but Niemann looks like he's going to be under-owned. Historically, we haven't been great at picking golfers in this range.

https://www.rotoviz.com/2020/06/pga-dfs-game-theory-how-to-pick-golfers-in-the-9500-and-up-range/

Between $9,400 and $8,500, it's ok to eat a bit of chalk (Ancer/Kisner/Henley) but there are opportunities to buy some low-owned options, as well.

Horschel and Scott seem like they'll go low-owned relative to their ceilings.

As a community, we are much better at picking golfers in the $7,500 - $8,400 range.

(Playing the Toddfather makes some sense here)

https://www.rotoviz.com/2020/06/if-youre-going-to-play-chalk-get-it-at-a-discount-are-we-good-at-picking-golfers-in-the-8400-to-7500-range/

We're even better in the cheap range. Some of my favorite sub-$7,500 golfers include:

Carlos Ortiz
Doug Ghim
Michael Thompson

https://www.rotoviz.com/2020/07/mega-chalk-is-rare-in-the-6500-7400-range-but-is-it-worth-chasing-when-we-find-it/

Golfers coming off of a win have finished in the Top 10 ~26% of the time in their next start.

With a slight ownership discount this week (relative to his range), you could do worse than Harris English. https://www.rotoviz.com/2020/07/should-we-fade-golfers-coming-off-a-tournament-win/