After pricing its IPO at $30/share in November, $OZON closed its first day of trading +34%. It has since traded up an additional +18%, bouncing back and forth in a tight $41 - $48 range. Here is why I'm long $OZON:
$OZON has invested heavily in its fulfillment
infrastructure to solve the logistical challenges of shipping goods in Russia, and now offers next-day delivery for over 40% of the Russian population. $AMZN, $MELI, and $SE have all proven that investments in logistics pay off
infrastructure to solve the logistical challenges of shipping goods in Russia, and now offers next-day delivery for over 40% of the Russian population. $AMZN, $MELI, and $SE have all proven that investments in logistics pay off
COVID-19 has accelerated the growth of Russian e-commerce, and $OZON has benefited from this
shift in consumer behavior, quickly growing GMV since introducing its marketplace model in September 2018
shift in consumer behavior, quickly growing GMV since introducing its marketplace model in September 2018
E-commerce penetration in Russia was only
6.0% in 2019 (up from 4.3% in 2017), compared to 27.1% in China, 18.3% in the UK, and 15.2% in the US. This demonstrates that there is still tremendous growth potential for not only $OZON, but even $OZON competitors such as Wildberries
6.0% in 2019 (up from 4.3% in 2017), compared to 27.1% in China, 18.3% in the UK, and 15.2% in the US. This demonstrates that there is still tremendous growth potential for not only $OZON, but even $OZON competitors such as Wildberries
$OZON is led by a team with experience from Yandex (current CEO previously served as CEO of the Russian division of Yandex from 2014 to 2017; current CTO has experience at both Yandex and Lazada)
On an EV / Sales basis, $OZON trades at a significant discount to $MELI, $SE, $JMIA, and $PDD. Likely due to the geopolitical risks of investing in a Russia-based company that is still unprofitable, but the risk / reward proposition is very appealing
And as @saxena_puru has mentioned, with a weakening US Dollar likely to come from additional stimulus, international names are now more attractive than ever (as the value of their earnings on a US $ basis increases with a weakened US $)