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#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
A thread of #ProjectFear warnings and their outcome, taking the end of the transition period on 31 December as Brexit unless otherwise stated
/1
#RemainerLies
A thread of #ProjectFear warnings and their outcome, taking the end of the transition period on 31 December as Brexit unless otherwise stated
/1
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: Chaos at the Channel, Kent one big car park, cross channel trade seized up
Outcome: Channel trade continues as usual
/2
#RemainerLies
Lie: Chaos at the Channel, Kent one big car park, cross channel trade seized up
Outcome: Channel trade continues as usual
/2
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: recession on voting to leave, recession on triggering Art 50, recession on political Brexit, recession on end of transition period
Outcome: no Brexit recession, although there was a lockdown recession and there may be a second lockdown recession
#RemainerLies
Lie: recession on voting to leave, recession on triggering Art 50, recession on political Brexit, recession on end of transition period
Outcome: no Brexit recession, although there was a lockdown recession and there may be a second lockdown recession
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: empty shelves in supermarkets and shops
Outcome: full shelves in supermarkets and shops, despite a brief shortage of lettuce
/4
#RemainerLies
Lie: empty shelves in supermarkets and shops
Outcome: full shelves in supermarkets and shops, despite a brief shortage of lettuce
/4
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: shortage of water purification chemicals
Outcome: no shortage of water purification chemicals
/6
#RemainerLies
Lie: shortage of water purification chemicals
Outcome: no shortage of water purification chemicals
/6
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: half a million more unemployed as a result of voting to Leave, triggering Art 50, political Brexit and end of the transitional period
Outcome: unemployment fell from referendum to pandemic and remains half EU rate and credit crunch rate
/7
#RemainerLies
Lie: half a million more unemployed as a result of voting to Leave, triggering Art 50, political Brexit and end of the transitional period
Outcome: unemployment fell from referendum to pandemic and remains half EU rate and credit crunch rate
/7
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: no flights between UK and EU
Outcome: flights continue between UK and EU
/8
#RemainerLies
Lie: no flights between UK and EU
Outcome: flights continue between UK and EU
/8
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: Punishment budget
Outcome: Overall tax take has stayed roughly constant since referendum, while personal taxes have fallen for most as tax free allowance and 42% threshold has risen
/9
#RemainerLies
Lie: Punishment budget
Outcome: Overall tax take has stayed roughly constant since referendum, while personal taxes have fallen for most as tax free allowance and 42% threshold has risen
/9
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: Roaming charges will be reinstated
Outcome: Market forces and competition ensure no roaming charges
/10
#RemainerLies
Lie: Roaming charges will be reinstated
Outcome: Market forces and competition ensure no roaming charges
/10
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: SF/IRA will restart their terror campaign
Outcome: SF/IRA remain at peace, preferring to pocketing salaries and expenses from the British taxpayer
/11
#RemainerLies
Lie: SF/IRA will restart their terror campaign
Outcome: SF/IRA remain at peace, preferring to pocketing salaries and expenses from the British taxpayer
/11
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: House prices will fall
Outcome: House prices continued to rise, even during the pandemic
/12
#RemainerLies
Lie: House prices will fall
Outcome: House prices continued to rise, even during the pandemic
/12
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: EU nationals will leave the UK
Outcome: the number of EU nationals living and working in the UK rose to record numbers to record numbers to record numbers
/13
#RemainerLies
Lie: EU nationals will leave the UK
Outcome: the number of EU nationals living and working in the UK rose to record numbers to record numbers to record numbers
/13
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: NHS would run out of doctors and nurses
Outcome: Record numbers of NHS doctors and nurses
/14
#RemainerLies
Lie: NHS would run out of doctors and nurses
Outcome: Record numbers of NHS doctors and nurses
/14
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: the NHS would never get an extra £350m a week
Outcome: NHS has been given over £1bn extra a week
/15
#RemainerLies
Lie: the NHS would never get an extra £350m a week
Outcome: NHS has been given over £1bn extra a week
/15
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: The UK wouldn’t sign any trade deals
Outcome: Liz Truss signed 64 trade deals covering more countries than the EU has trade deals with, and more deals are on the way including membership of the worlds largest trading bloc, CP-TPP
/16
#RemainerLies
Lie: The UK wouldn’t sign any trade deals
Outcome: Liz Truss signed 64 trade deals covering more countries than the EU has trade deals with, and more deals are on the way including membership of the worlds largest trading bloc, CP-TPP
/16
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: Britain would run out of avocados. Avocados which come from Mexico and the tropics, not the EU.
Outcome: No shortage of avocados.
/17
#RemainerLies
Lie: Britain would run out of avocados. Avocados which come from Mexico and the tropics, not the EU.
Outcome: No shortage of avocados.
/17
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: Britain would run out of the raw materials to make chocolate. Chocolate, made from sugar and milk produced in the UK and cocoa beans which come from the tropics not the EU.
Outcome: No shortage of chocolate ingredients.
/18
#RemainerLies
Lie: Britain would run out of the raw materials to make chocolate. Chocolate, made from sugar and milk produced in the UK and cocoa beans which come from the tropics not the EU.
Outcome: No shortage of chocolate ingredients.
/18
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: the UK would not have trade access to the EU internal (single) market without agreeing to dynamic alignment with EU rules.
Outcome: Trade access without dynamic alignment.
/19
#RemainerLies
Lie: the UK would not have trade access to the EU internal (single) market without agreeing to dynamic alignment with EU rules.
Outcome: Trade access without dynamic alignment.
/19
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: the UK would not get tariff and quota free trade access to the EU internal (single) market.
Outcome: UK has tariff and quota free trade access.
/20
#RemainerLies
Lie: the UK would not get tariff and quota free trade access to the EU internal (single) market.
Outcome: UK has tariff and quota free trade access.
/20
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: the UK would see the emergence of “super” sexually transmitted diseases.
Outcome: No “super” sexually transmitted diseases.
/21
#RemainerLies
Lie: the UK would see the emergence of “super” sexually transmitted diseases.
Outcome: No “super” sexually transmitted diseases.
/21
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: EU27 banks and financial services firms would leave the City along with 100,000s of jobs.
Outcome: EU27 banks expanded in London, EU27 financial services firms rushed to open UK subsidiaries, creating many more jobs in City than relocated.
/22
#RemainerLies
Lie: EU27 banks and financial services firms would leave the City along with 100,000s of jobs.
Outcome: EU27 banks expanded in London, EU27 financial services firms rushed to open UK subsidiaries, creating many more jobs in City than relocated.
/22
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK nationals living in EU would be forced to return to UK.
Outcome: Rights of UK nationals living in EU retained and protected.
/23
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK nationals living in EU would be forced to return to UK.
Outcome: Rights of UK nationals living in EU retained and protected.
/23
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: Gibraltar-Spain border would be closed.
Outcome: Gibraltar-Spain border remains open with special free movement deal.
/24
#RemainerLies
Lie: Gibraltar-Spain border would be closed.
Outcome: Gibraltar-Spain border remains open with special free movement deal.
/24
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK nationals wouldn’t be able to work in EU27.
Outcome: UK nationals can work in EU27 provided that they comply with same rules as any other non-EU national, just as 3.5m UK nationals do across RoW.
/25
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK nationals wouldn’t be able to work in EU27.
Outcome: UK nationals can work in EU27 provided that they comply with same rules as any other non-EU national, just as 3.5m UK nationals do across RoW.
/25
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK nationals would need a visa for every trip to the EU.
Outcome: Visa free travel for now with a three year all Schengen ESTA style €6 visa to be introduced in a year or so.
/26
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK nationals would need a visa for every trip to the EU.
Outcome: Visa free travel for now with a three year all Schengen ESTA style €6 visa to be introduced in a year or so.
/26
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK too small to get trade deals as good as EU has.
Outcome: all of the 63 non-EU trade deals UK has signed are at least as good as the EU deals, several notably better and most include commitments to future improvements.
/27
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK too small to get trade deals as good as EU has.
Outcome: all of the 63 non-EU trade deals UK has signed are at least as good as the EU deals, several notably better and most include commitments to future improvements.
/27
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: trade deals take years to negotiate.
Outcome: usually the EU takes years to negotiate trade deals, but with the UK driving the pace it took a mere 11 months to secure the CTA. Meanwhile the UK-Japan trade deal took 11 weeks.
/28
#RemainerLies
Lie: trade deals take years to negotiate.
Outcome: usually the EU takes years to negotiate trade deals, but with the UK driving the pace it took a mere 11 months to secure the CTA. Meanwhile the UK-Japan trade deal took 11 weeks.
/28
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: trade deals can’t include anything meaningful on financial services or anything like passporting.
Outcome: UK and Switzerland negotiating a financial services trade deal to deliver the upsides of passporting without the corrupt superstate.
/29
#RemainerLies
Lie: trade deals can’t include anything meaningful on financial services or anything like passporting.
Outcome: UK and Switzerland negotiating a financial services trade deal to deliver the upsides of passporting without the corrupt superstate.
/29
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: the stock market will collapse
Outcome: in the first trading week of 2021, FTSE100 rose 5.8%
/30
#RemainerLies
Lie: the stock market will collapse
Outcome: in the first trading week of 2021, FTSE100 rose 5.8%
/30
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: outside the EU, the UK will be a ruletaker in financial services
Outcome: outside the EU, the UK is reforming and improving its financial services regulations while the EU is trying to catch up with UK initiatives on PRIIPs and fund costs.
/31
#RemainerLies
Lie: outside the EU, the UK will be a ruletaker in financial services
Outcome: outside the EU, the UK is reforming and improving its financial services regulations while the EU is trying to catch up with UK initiatives on PRIIPs and fund costs.
/31
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: the UK would not be able to get hold of medical grade radio isotopes
Outcome: no shortage of medical grade radio isotopes
/32
#RemainerLies
Lie: the UK would not be able to get hold of medical grade radio isotopes
Outcome: no shortage of medical grade radio isotopes
/32
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK diabetics would die from lack of insulin (one of the most disgraceful #ProjectFear lies ever)
Outcome: no shortage of insulin
/33
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK diabetics would die from lack of insulin (one of the most disgraceful #ProjectFear lies ever)
Outcome: no shortage of insulin
/33
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK students won't be able to study in the EU
Outcome: UK students able to study in the EU, while new Turing scheme allows UK students of limited means to study globally instead of Erasmus scheme which allowed wealthy students to study in EU.
/34
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK students won't be able to study in the EU
Outcome: UK students able to study in the EU, while new Turing scheme allows UK students of limited means to study globally instead of Erasmus scheme which allowed wealthy students to study in EU.
/34
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK economy will grow by 28.4% in 15 years instead of 30% if it remained in the EU.
Outcome: An unproveable counterfactual based on dodgy HMT assumptions granted, but what we do know is that UK economy has outperformed EU27 and EZ since 2016.
/35
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK economy will grow by 28.4% in 15 years instead of 30% if it remained in the EU.
Outcome: An unproveable counterfactual based on dodgy HMT assumptions granted, but what we do know is that UK economy has outperformed EU27 and EZ since 2016.
/35
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: You won't be able to take your pet on holiday to EU.
Outcome: You need a rabies certificate to take your pet on holiday to the EU (where, islands apart, they have rabies, whereas we don't).
/36
#RemainerLies
Lie: You won't be able to take your pet on holiday to EU.
Outcome: You need a rabies certificate to take your pet on holiday to the EU (where, islands apart, they have rabies, whereas we don't).
/36
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: You won't be able to drive in the EU.
Outcome: You will be able to drive in the EU with a single extra piece of paper.
/37
#RemainerLies
Lie: You won't be able to drive in the EU.
Outcome: You will be able to drive in the EU with a single extra piece of paper.
/37
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: You won't be able to go to your EU holiday home (who says Remoaners are out of touch metropolitans?).
Outcome: You will be able to go to your EU holiday home, but if you are wealthy enough to have 90+ day holidays you will need a visa.
/38
#RemainerLies
Lie: You won't be able to go to your EU holiday home (who says Remoaners are out of touch metropolitans?).
Outcome: You will be able to go to your EU holiday home, but if you are wealthy enough to have 90+ day holidays you will need a visa.
/38
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK animal welfare standards will fall.
Outcome: UK has banned or will ban: barbaric live export; transshipment of whalemeat; fur imports; foie gras imports; imports of farmed puppies.
/39
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK animal welfare standards will fall.
Outcome: UK has banned or will ban: barbaric live export; transshipment of whalemeat; fur imports; foie gras imports; imports of farmed puppies.
/39
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK will no longer be attractive for foreign direct invetsment (FDI)
Outcome: UK has remained #1 destination for FDI in Europe (as opposed to the EU) since the referendum.
/40
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK will no longer be attractive for foreign direct invetsment (FDI)
Outcome: UK has remained #1 destination for FDI in Europe (as opposed to the EU) since the referendum.
/40
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK universities will face a brain drain.
Outcome: UK universities are best in Europe (not just EU) and amongst best in the world. New UK immigration rules ensure the best academics in the world can work here.
/41
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK universities will face a brain drain.
Outcome: UK universities are best in Europe (not just EU) and amongst best in the world. New UK immigration rules ensure the best academics in the world can work here.
/41
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: Scotland will leave the UK.
Outcome: Scotland remains in the UK. Leaving the EU doesn't shorten the length of a generation and the next poll will not be until 2049, if at all.
/42
#RemainerLies
Lie: Scotland will leave the UK.
Outcome: Scotland remains in the UK. Leaving the EU doesn't shorten the length of a generation and the next poll will not be until 2049, if at all.
/42
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: Musicians won’t be able to tour the EU.
Outcome: Musicians able to tour the EU just as they are able to tour the rest of the world.
/43
#RemainerLies
Lie: Musicians won’t be able to tour the EU.
Outcome: Musicians able to tour the EU just as they are able to tour the rest of the world.
/43
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: France will cancel the Le Touquet Treaty governing cross Channel movements UK-France.
Outcome: Le Touquet Treaty not cancelled.
/44
#RemainerLies
Lie: France will cancel the Le Touquet Treaty governing cross Channel movements UK-France.
Outcome: Le Touquet Treaty not cancelled.
/44
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: Aircraft with UK certified parts will not be able to fly in the EU.
Outcome: EU recognises UK aircraft parts certification and aircraft with them can fly in EU.
/45
#RemainerLies
Lie: Aircraft with UK certified parts will not be able to fly in the EU.
Outcome: EU recognises UK aircraft parts certification and aircraft with them can fly in EU.
/45
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: Japanese car manufacturers would leave the UK.
Outcome: Japanese car manufacturers have increased their investment in UK to build new models.
/46
#RemainerLies
Lie: Japanese car manufacturers would leave the UK.
Outcome: Japanese car manufacturers have increased their investment in UK to build new models.
/46
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: International companies like Unilever would leave the UK.
Outcome: Unilever restructured to have its sole HQ and sole stock exchange listing in the UK.
/47
#RemainerLies
Lie: International companies like Unilever would leave the UK.
Outcome: Unilever restructured to have its sole HQ and sole stock exchange listing in the UK.
/47
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: there would be civil unrest.
Outcome: no Brexit related civil unrest, but there was unrelated civil unrest due to Marxist race hate group BLM rioting and extremist anti free speech climate groups shutting down our free press.
/48
#RemainerLies
Lie: there would be civil unrest.
Outcome: no Brexit related civil unrest, but there was unrelated civil unrest due to Marxist race hate group BLM rioting and extremist anti free speech climate groups shutting down our free press.
/48
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: there will be a shortage of animal semen.
Outcome: no shortage of animal semen.
/49
#RemainerLies
Lie: there will be a shortage of animal semen.
Outcome: no shortage of animal semen.
/49
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK will be at the back of the queue for a US trade deal.
Outcome: UK in negotiations for a US trade deal, however the UK moves slow on trade, albeit not as slowly as the EU.
/50
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK will be at the back of the queue for a US trade deal.
Outcome: UK in negotiations for a US trade deal, however the UK moves slow on trade, albeit not as slowly as the EU.
/50
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: David Cameron suggesting WW3 would be more likely to break out.
Outcome: No WW3.
/51
#RemainerLies
Lie: David Cameron suggesting WW3 would be more likely to break out.
Outcome: No WW3.
/51
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: shortage of Easter eggs the Easter after political Brexit in January 2020.
Outcome: usual surfeit of Easter eggs in the shops Easter 2020.
/52
#RemainerLies
Lie: shortage of Easter eggs the Easter after political Brexit in January 2020.
Outcome: usual surfeit of Easter eggs in the shops Easter 2020.
/52
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK residents will be forced to eat chlorinated chicken.
Outcome: UK food standards remain higher than EU standards, although in a hangover from EU, UK residents are forced to eat chlorinated salad and drink chlorinated water unharmed.
/53
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK residents will be forced to eat chlorinated chicken.
Outcome: UK food standards remain higher than EU standards, although in a hangover from EU, UK residents are forced to eat chlorinated salad and drink chlorinated water unharmed.
/53
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK would start releasing raw sewage into the sea.
Outcome: UK continues to treat sewage onshore.
/54
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK would start releasing raw sewage into the sea.
Outcome: UK continues to treat sewage onshore.
/54
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: the EU would shut down the electricity interconnector cables from France, Belgium and Netherlands to the UK, causing blackouts.
Outcome: interconnectors operating normally.
/55
#RemainerLies
Lie: the EU would shut down the electricity interconnector cables from France, Belgium and Netherlands to the UK, causing blackouts.
Outcome: interconnectors operating normally.
/55
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: interest rates will rise.
Outcome: BoE base rate 0.1% while MPC debates whether to introduce negative interest rates and at times the markets are prepared to pay for the privilege of lending to the UK.
/56
#RemainerLies
Lie: interest rates will rise.
Outcome: BoE base rate 0.1% while MPC debates whether to introduce negative interest rates and at times the markets are prepared to pay for the privilege of lending to the UK.
/56
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: the value of the pound will collapse.
Outcome: GBP-EUR stable at 1:1.1-1.2 since referendum. GBP-USD slightly more volatile at 1:1.2-1.4 since referendum.
/57
#RemainerLies
Lie: the value of the pound will collapse.
Outcome: GBP-EUR stable at 1:1.1-1.2 since referendum. GBP-USD slightly more volatile at 1:1.2-1.4 since referendum.
/57
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK employment protections will fall.
Outcome: UK employment protections long pre date and far exceed EU standards and continue to do so. The Holidays with Pay Act 1935 predates the attempt before the EU to create a German led united Europe.
/58
#RemainerLies
Lie: UK employment protections will fall.
Outcome: UK employment protections long pre date and far exceed EU standards and continue to do so. The Holidays with Pay Act 1935 predates the attempt before the EU to create a German led united Europe.
/58
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: due to labour shortages the era of the £1 bunch of daffodils in supermarkets will come to an end.
Outcome: Today in upmarket Waitrose they were selling £1 bunches of daffodils.
/59
#RemainerLies
Lie: due to labour shortages the era of the £1 bunch of daffodils in supermarkets will come to an end.
Outcome: Today in upmarket Waitrose they were selling £1 bunches of daffodils.
/59
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: Nissan will leave the UK.
Outcome: Nissan announces that Brexit is beneficial to its presence in the UK and commits to manufacturing batteries for electric vehicles in Sunderland.
/60
#RemainerLies
Lie: Nissan will leave the UK.
Outcome: Nissan announces that Brexit is beneficial to its presence in the UK and commits to manufacturing batteries for electric vehicles in Sunderland.
/60
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: there will be a hard border in Ireland.
Outcome: on trying to impose a hard border the EU faced such a backlash from all sides that it had to climb down and pretend that a minor official had imposed the hard border by mistake.
/61
#RemainerLies
Lie: there will be a hard border in Ireland.
Outcome: on trying to impose a hard border the EU faced such a backlash from all sides that it had to climb down and pretend that a minor official had imposed the hard border by mistake.
/61
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: leaving the EMA will endanger lives in the UK.
Outcome: leaving the EMA has saved thousands of lives in the UK.
/62
#RemainerLies
Lie: leaving the EMA will endanger lives in the UK.
Outcome: leaving the EMA has saved thousands of lives in the UK.
/62
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: nation states are incapable of holding their own in a world dominated by large blocks.
Outcome: nation states, even large ones like the US and China are more nimble and effective in a crisis while the EU flounders and kills thousands.
/63
#RemainerLies
Lie: nation states are incapable of holding their own in a world dominated by large blocks.
Outcome: nation states, even large ones like the US and China are more nimble and effective in a crisis while the EU flounders and kills thousands.
/63
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: outside the EU the UK would be forced to do deals with unsavoury regimes for trade.
Outcome: UK restricts trade with genocidal regimes, while the EU signs a trade deal with genocidal China declaring it not their place to criticise genocides.
/64
#RemainerLies
Lie: outside the EU the UK would be forced to do deals with unsavoury regimes for trade.
Outcome: UK restricts trade with genocidal regimes, while the EU signs a trade deal with genocidal China declaring it not their place to criticise genocides.
/64
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: the UK was leaving the worlds largest free trade block.
Outcome: the UK left a protectionist customs union but is now joining the world's actual largest free trade block, the CP-TPP, based on the global gold standard of mutual recognition.
/65
#RemainerLies
Lie: the UK was leaving the worlds largest free trade block.
Outcome: the UK left a protectionist customs union but is now joining the world's actual largest free trade block, the CP-TPP, based on the global gold standard of mutual recognition.
/65
#ProjectFear
#RemainerLies
Lie: on Brexit Remainers will start riots so violent the Queen has to be evacuated from Buckingham Palace.
Outcome: despite the extreme rhetoric of hard Remainers, Brexit passes off peacefully as expected.
/66
#RemainerLies
Lie: on Brexit Remainers will start riots so violent the Queen has to be evacuated from Buckingham Palace.
Outcome: despite the extreme rhetoric of hard Remainers, Brexit passes off peacefully as expected.
/66
