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Back in November, I outlined how the vaccine rollout should allow for a gradual easing of restrictions during 2021.
So much has changed since, so it's time I updated this schedule....
[THREAD]
1/ https://twitter.com/higginsdavidw/status/1333044568422494210
So much has changed since, so it's time I updated this schedule....
[THREAD]
1/ https://twitter.com/higginsdavidw/status/1333044568422494210
For December, I said L2-L3. This was a fair description. It was L3 in name only. The indoor dining made it more like L2.
For January, I said L4-L5. We're in L5 now.
2/
For January, I said L4-L5. We're in L5 now.
2/
For Feb-April, I said L3.
Given the new variant, I expect we'll be in L5 for most of February.
Into March, it's hard to see an easing below L4, again because of the variant. Retail remains closed under L4.
3/ https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1346865388886384640
Given the new variant, I expect we'll be in L5 for most of February.
Into March, it's hard to see an easing below L4, again because of the variant. Retail remains closed under L4.
3/ https://twitter.com/gavreilly/status/1346865388886384640
April might allow for some easing, but it will be a "dance" with the new variant.
The improving weather may help too and the over 65s should be vaccinated by then.
I think L3 - but with outdoor dining at first
4/
The improving weather may help too and the over 65s should be vaccinated by then.
I think L3 - but with outdoor dining at first
4/
I previously said May-Aug would be L2. I think this can still happen.
I then said "September (COPPERS for the All Ireland)"...
Haven't they only gone and scheduled the All Ireland for JULY this year
5/ https://www.irishmirror.ie/sport/gaa/gaa-confirm-2021-fixture-plan-23201347
I then said "September (COPPERS for the All Ireland)"...
Haven't they only gone and scheduled the All Ireland for JULY this year
5/ https://www.irishmirror.ie/sport/gaa/gaa-confirm-2021-fixture-plan-23201347
Could Coppers and other night clubs open in July?
A progression like this can't be ruled out:
- April, outdoor dining
- May, indoor dining
- June, wet pubs
- July, nightclubs
If 44% have been vaccinated at the end of June, it's very possible
6/ https://twitter.com/higginsdavidw/status/1349415639170080771/
A progression like this can't be ruled out:
- April, outdoor dining
- May, indoor dining
- June, wet pubs
- July, nightclubs
If 44% have been vaccinated at the end of June, it's very possible
6/ https://twitter.com/higginsdavidw/status/1349415639170080771/
So I'm going to stick with "Coppers for the All Ireland" but with a caveat that there'll probably be some limits on numbers.
Spain's clubs were open last summer, with restrictions.
7/ https://www.thesun.ie/travel/5513046/nightclubs-discos-spain-coronavirus-dancing-ban/
Spain's clubs were open last summer, with restrictions.
7/ https://www.thesun.ie/travel/5513046/nightclubs-discos-spain-coronavirus-dancing-ban/
"December (OLD NORMAL Christmas)" - That's another one I'll keep as is.
12 pubs!
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12 pubs!
8/
The one caveat I'll add to the autumn and winter is that there will be hesitancy around allowing very large indoor events, e.g. 3 Arena.
We may have some limits there to make sure the virus doesn't surge again like it did this winter.
9/
We may have some limits there to make sure the virus doesn't surge again like it did this winter.
9/
So here is the new schedule, all going to plan:
- Jan-Feb (L5)
- March (L4)
- Apr (L3)
- May-Jun (L2)
- July (COPPERS for the All Ireland)
- December (OLD NORMAL Christmas)
10/10
- Jan-Feb (L5)
- March (L4)
- Apr (L3)
- May-Jun (L2)
- July (COPPERS for the All Ireland)
- December (OLD NORMAL Christmas)
10/10
