The VDP has 14.6 people in categories 1 to 4 for the UK. With the gov't expressing confidence that the target to vaccinate them by Feb 15th can be achieved, let's start to check progress. (Yesterday's daily figure included for context.) We need an average of c350k per day. 1/5
The current shortfall shouldn't be too concerning, (yet). We know that the programme is ramping up, but every day we fall behind will mean having to go above the starting average later on to catch up. The maths is a bit like limited overs cricket, but much more serious. 2/5
I've deliberately ignored the recent switch from "vaccinated" to "offered a vaccine". We know some will decline (hopefully not many), but the apparent sleight of hand in posting out test kits to meet a testing target is not easily forgotten. 3/5
These figures record first vaccinations. There are a few second doses currently being administered, but these are expected to tail off, and are not relevant to achieving the mid February deadline. 4/5
Today's increase is an encouraging sign, with 62k additional vaccinations recorded over yesterday. Let's hope the next few days continues to build on this progress as more centres come on stream. 5/5 END
You can follow @john_actuary.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:

By continuing to use the site, you are consenting to the use of cookies as explained in our Cookie Policy to improve your experience.