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An important aspect of how members of Congress think about their votes and future electoral prospects this year is that none of them actually know the contours of the districts they’ll be running in in 2022. All their districts are being redrawn before then.
Idk how likely this is, but one way that Representatives could be retaliated against for their votes (on impeachment or otherwise) is that their state legislatures back home could draw them unpleasant districts (or draw them out of their districts altogether) #gerrymandering
I.e. you make a moderate’s district redder/likelier that they lose a primary. You take an important constituency out of their district. No one is giving seats to the other party, obviously. But there are many ways to make a district better or worse for a particular lawmaker.
Anyway, I don’t think this is a primary motivator for how lawmakers will behave this year, but it will be something gnawing in the back of their minds...
“What’s my district gonna look like next year?!?”
“What’s my district gonna look like next year?!?”
