So I want to talk about vaccines and the scale of stupid involved in what's happening.
We've heard what % of the population is vaccinated. What % of vaccines are distribute. We've heard about prioritization.
But does anybody have any numbers on prioritization? I couldn't find any. So I made some.
But does anybody have any numbers on prioritization? I couldn't find any. So I made some.
How many people live in each state who are either healthcare workers or elders living in group quarters? With a little adjustment for population change, we can estimate this, and see if states were over- or under-allocated vaccines.
So we can divide "vaccines distributed" according to the CDC by "number of healthcare workers and people in retirement homes."
What do we get? Here's what we have, and this is EXCLUDING distributions to Native American health bodies, prisons, DoD, and the VA system.
What do we get? Here's what we have, and this is EXCLUDING distributions to Native American health bodies, prisons, DoD, and the VA system.
Alaska, DC, Nevada, Hawaii, Georgia, and Arizona all got more vaccines than they have people eligible to receive them in phase 1.
Cannot tell you how insane that seems to me.
Cannot tell you how insane that seems to me.
Meanwhile, ND, MA, OH, and NY all got less vaccine than they'd need to even get their priority populations 2/3 vaccinated.
Keep in mind that Alaska, Hawaii, Arizona, DC, and Nevada are also states that have relatively high rates of DoD and/or Indian Health Services, which I'm *not* counting.
This isn't a supply chain issue. It's not like it just easier somehow to get vaccines to Alaska, but super hard to get them to Massachusetts.
Maybe you can argue over-allocating to Alaska or Hawaii is good BECAUSE it's hard to get vaccines there. Okay, maybe. But that doesn't apply to Arizona, DC, or Nevada.
So here's how many vaccines have been ADMINISTERED compared to priority populations. Obviously, we know by now many vaccines have gone outside the prioritized group. But assuming 100% were within-priority, this is how many priority folks are vaccinated.
SURPRISE SURPRISE DC is at like Israel-levels of vaccinating its high-priority group. And again, THAT IS NOT INCLUDING the DoD's vaccination program, which obviously is huge in DC.
If the government had a plan to vaccinate the elites in the capital first, that might actually make a lot of sense! Maybe you need to do that!
But it should be publicly justified.
But it should be publicly justified.
Meanwhile, West Virginia is also approaching Israeli levels of completion of prioritized groups. So is South Dakota.