Where would Ontario be today if we'd gone into lockdown before Christmas instead of after? I obtained new cellphone mobility data to examine what happened in the week before Boxing Day lockdown—a highly consequential period, as you can see in below charts
https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2021/01/10/why-did-ontario-covid-19-rates-surge-after-christmas-new-cellphone-mobility-data-offers-some-clues.html
https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2021/01/10/why-did-ontario-covid-19-rates-surge-after-christmas-new-cellphone-mobility-data-offers-some-clues.html
For one: Mobility data suggests a lot of people circumvented lockdown by simply traveling to nearby regions. In two malls in Halton and Durham, there were *more* last-minute Christmas shoppers from locked-down areas than there were local shoppers
For this story, I also spoke with risk communications expert Dr. Jody Lanard ( @EIDGeek) about Ontario's decision to delay lockdown until after Christmas. A 'big mistake,' she says.
"The few days before the lockdown…did the most damage of all the weeks leading up to Boxing Day'
"The few days before the lockdown…did the most damage of all the weeks leading up to Boxing Day'
Story also includes insights from @DrJeffKwong and @AshTuite. @primarydata helped with data analysis and graphics are by @CTulk, @DeightonMcKenna and Jordan Tamblyn.