It seems general feeling on Twitter after yesterday’s games is:
Cam Akers is good
Leonard Fournette is bad
When in reality they had very similar games in very similar situations
First, the obvious:
YPC
Fournette - 4.9
Akers - 4.7
But let’s look at the full context (1/3)
Cam Akers is good

Leonard Fournette is bad

When in reality they had very similar games in very similar situations
First, the obvious:
YPC
Fournette - 4.9
Akers - 4.7
But let’s look at the full context (1/3)
First we look at Adjusted offensive line yards for each team (per football outsiders)
Rams - 7th
Bucs - 9th
How about adjusted defensive line yards for their opponents
Seattle - 12th
WFT - 7th
I think we can agree the overall conditions were similar enough (better for Akers)
Rams - 7th
Bucs - 9th
How about adjusted defensive line yards for their opponents
Seattle - 12th
WFT - 7th
I think we can agree the overall conditions were similar enough (better for Akers)
Now let’s look at performance
Akers
PPO - 0.853
PPOxTD - 0.653
EPA/Play - 0.154
Fournette
PPO - 0.967
PPOxTD - 0.717
EPA/Play - 0.159
The narrative is based mainly on recency bias and rookie hype rather than performance or situation.
People will see what they want to see
Akers
PPO - 0.853
PPOxTD - 0.653
EPA/Play - 0.154
Fournette
PPO - 0.967
PPOxTD - 0.717
EPA/Play - 0.159
The narrative is based mainly on recency bias and rookie hype rather than performance or situation.
People will see what they want to see
Also this part https://twitter.com/ff_casanova/status/1348495916785926144