TREAD CONTINUED:
The question that I posed yesterday was both a trick and yet, extremely serious.
We put so much value on “Spin Metrics” that we are blinded to a few, more important matters. P1
@FlatgroundApp https://twitter.com/maximized_bsb/status/1347958070736023552
First, and most importantly, we should not base judgement of pitcher potential efficiency on metrics, let alone a single pitch screenshot.
We need to value the information for what is, not what it isn’t.
Metrics are just granular details, they are not performance indicators. P2
Just from the metric observations Pitcher 2 has the upper hand with higher SR/Eff%/Velo, but neither fit the “ideal” mold of matching high spin with high efficiency. Does it matter?
Yes and no. The question posed was which would play better, not which looked better. P3
In today’s game, a coach has to wear two development hats: one as a developer of athletes from a technical side and one from a tactical side.
Usually we forget that these are two separate topics and although they have crossover, you have to prioritize at certain times. P4
Off-season and work days are for technical thinking, game day is for tactical thinking.
The information we derive from technical work aids our planning for tactical execution, but it shouldn’t bog us down from the freedom of competition. P5
In the case of these two pitchers and the question posed at the beginning, it’s impossible to say which will “play” better because we don’t have all of the necessary info, some of which explains the “why” behind the metrics. P6
There has to be context to draw conclusions:
•What do the other pitches in their arsenal look like?
•K%?
•Role?
•What is the execution plan/usage% for each pitcher?
Until we know these answers, these metrics are just fun distractions. P7
Using the information we do have, how would we optimize each pitcher’s in game performance?
Even with the data, we still have a lot of assumptions to make to accomplish this task.
This game is so much more than numbers...but they definitely help. P8
P1, although he has slightly above avg SR, the gyro aspect and lowered eff% kills the usable spin, which actually provides him with an extremely heavy, cutting sinker.
Ground balls galore. Live low.
Paired with a solid SL/CH combo, there’s a lot of potential.
P9
P2 has the the upside of elevated SR, but with his H/V landing him on the edge of the “dead zone” he will have to really focus on his off speeds and changing locations. Can he adjust the efficiency and boost his profile, absolutely, but for now he’s got to make it work.
P10
These things matter:
•Velo
•Spin rate
•H/V Break
•VAA
•Release Metrics
•MoCap analysis
•Hip/Shoulder Sep.
•Force Vectors

What matters most is the ability to optimize every pitcher’s unique skill sets by any means necessary.
P12
The end.
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