While all eyes are on the fallout of the Jan 6 #insurrection the #SARSCoV2 virus is spreading across America at breakneck speed. During the time the entire @WhiteHouse has been focused on false claims that #Trump won -- since Nov 3 -- the US caseload has more than 2X'ed.
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On Election Day Nov. 3, US cumulative #COVID19 cases was 9.6 million. Today it's 22.1 M -- that's an ^ of 12.5 million cases.
And American deaths?
Election Day total = 231,600
Jan 9 = 373,500
So, 141,900 Americans have died while @WhiteHouse focused on "stolen election"
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Given a 36% undercount in deaths in the US, due to delays in reporting + failure to test/diagnose, real #COVID19 toll today is more than a half million.
Since Jan 1st we've added 3700-4K deaths/day and 270K-300K cases/day. If we stay this course, by Valentines Day...
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The US tolls will see 9.2 million more cases, topping 32 M cumulatively.
And (horrors) another 136,000 officially tabulated deaths, or 509K cumulative.
Using the 36% undercount est., deaths cld be 690,000.
NOW, what about the UK variant mutant form of #SARSCoV2 ?
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In UK + Ireland the mutant form of #SARSCoV2 has caused an astronomical surge in new cases, and is up to 80% more contagious.
55 separate indivs. in USA, w/no UK travel histories, have shown they carry that strain. We only genomically screen 0.3% of viral samps. in US.
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It is prudent to ASSUME the mutant is widespread in USA & act accordingly. Don't wait for more "proof." And unless we go on lockdown, the dreadful forecast of 1 million #COVID19 American deaths by May 1 is reasonable. #Vaccines will mitigate IF >1/2 of the nation...
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Is fully immunized before April. But the current pace of rollout will see only 30% of Americans #COVID19 vaccinated by June 1st.
Every tactic to stop this epidemic must be done FAR more aggressively, properly and faster. We are running out of time.
You can follow @Laurie_Garrett.
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