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Some polls have been coming out showing that most (but not all) Republicans oppose the storming of Capitol Hill.
An important question, then, is what are the characteristics of those who approve of it? We have some preliminary data on this (N = 331 Trump voters from Lucid)... https://twitter.com/GordPennycook/status/1347339200597671938
An important question, then, is what are the characteristics of those who approve of it? We have some preliminary data on this (N = 331 Trump voters from Lucid)... https://twitter.com/GordPennycook/status/1347339200597671938
Trump voters who approve of the riot tend to be less open-minded about evidence (AOT-E)* (r = -.26) and somewhat lower in both cognitive reflection (r = -.12, p = .025) & political knowledge (r = -.17).
32% low AOT-E approve; 19% high AOT-E approve
*see http://journal.sjdm.org/20/200414/jdm200414.pdf
32% low AOT-E approve; 19% high AOT-E approve
*see http://journal.sjdm.org/20/200414/jdm200414.pdf
Amusingly, people who believe Capitol Hill violence was actually caused by Antifa were *more* likely to approve of storming the Capitol (r = .14, p = .011).
They also believe more falsehoods about COVID-19 (r = .46) & are less likely to believe that Biden won (r = -.12).
They also believe more falsehoods about COVID-19 (r = .46) & are less likely to believe that Biden won (r = -.12).
Coda:
College v no college doesn't show much of a difference & it's in the opposite direction: 21% no college approve, 32% college approve (p = .096).
Men are more likely to approve than women: 33% of men approved, 20% of women approved (p = .003).
College v no college doesn't show much of a difference & it's in the opposite direction: 21% no college approve, 32% college approve (p = .096).
Men are more likely to approve than women: 33% of men approved, 20% of women approved (p = .003).
Addendum on effect sizes: Here are the strongest predictors of CH riot approval in order
COVID misperception (r=.46), wanting red/blue states to separate (r=.43), willingness to themself protest (r=.39), prob. estimate that trump won (r=.27), AOT-E (r=-.26), being a man (r=.16)
COVID misperception (r=.46), wanting red/blue states to separate (r=.43), willingness to themself protest (r=.39), prob. estimate that trump won (r=.27), AOT-E (r=-.26), being a man (r=.16)
I should note that our measure of likelihood that Trump won (r=.27 above) was a stronger correlate than belief that Biden is legitimately the next POTUS (r=-.12, as cited in the tweet with Ian Malcolm). Support of the riot is higher for people who believe Trump won, in any case
