Short thread.
1/ Last night, #AQAP's formal wire released new lecture material by the leader of #AlQaeda in #Yemen, Khalid Batarfi. What might this signal? Probably weakness more than strength…
2/ Superficially, the resumption of this #Quran lecture series after an 8-month gap suggests #AQAP is back in business. The lectures had ceased abruptly on 13 May 2020 when a US op killed the #Pensacola shooter go-between (possibly a #drone strike in Wadi 'Ubaydah, Ma'rib)
3/ But in fact, #AQAP’s latest release highlights the patchy comms & disappearance of their leader. The footage was recorded minimum 8 months ago (same set-up, clothing, light/shadow + date cropped out). So it does nothing to dispel rumours of Batarfi’s capture, demise or retreat
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