1/ 🔥Fathom Holdings - $FTHM 🔥

$FTHM wants to hire and serve the very best real estate agents while offering industry best commissions

74% rev growth 📈
56% increase in real estate 🏡 transactions
Average revenue per transaction up 12% ⬆️
Agent count up 38% to over 5,000 👨‍💼👩‍💼
2/ Fathom Holdings $FTHM is a real estate company that's disrupting the real estate agent market via an innovative platform as a service (PAAS) model which is powered by their proprietary cloud ☁️ based technology called intelliagent. https://www.fathomcareers.com/technology/ 
3/ This allows $FTHM to streamline and automate 🤖 back office operations and reduce personnel requirements. Their agents are able to operate virtually 💻📱without the need for an office and the fees 🚫💰associated
4/ Because of this agents tend to be more productive👍 by reducing the time it takes to manage the transaction process and get in front of more buyers and sellers🤝
5/ Their agents get 💯% of their commission minus a flat fee and earn 35% more on average.

This helps bring new agents in which is driving new sales which leads to more growth 📈
6/ On the ⬅️ you can see an example of an agent’s potential earnings on a $350k house with $FTHM.

On the ➡️ we see a yearly breakout with 12 $200k 🏡 sold from their current broker vs $FTHM. This agent would earn $19k more per year with $FTHM.
7/ Importantly the breakeven from each additional new agent they add is only $920 which they generate on just their first sale 🧾and this number is expected to drop⬇️ in the long run. Currently, the lifetime value of an agent is $18,000‼️
8/ Agents success 🥇is a big part of $FTHM s success

“Agents join to earn more commission but they stay for the culture” - CEO Josh Harley

Attrition is 1/2 the industry standard

4th year in a row top place to 💼

4.9/5 ⭐️ on Glassdoor! Incredible 🙌Reminds me of $DOCU.
9/ They were only public for 1/2 of the last quarter so they didn’t get a full benefit of the capital raised in the IPO. Entrance into new markets (like recently Michigan) and acquisitions (like Verus Title) are expected to continue with their IPO funding💵
10/ They acquired Verus Titles for about $1.7 million which is a technology-driven and virtual titling service as a bolt-on. Most agents don’t have a financial relationship with a titling company. This allows $FTHM to add easy incremental revenue when their agents use Verus
11/ Today’s standard practice is to add the title company on the MLS for whichever one is closest to the closing of the house 🙈. Being virtual $FTHM can make the transaction even easier😌
12/ 5k closings per year could add about $2 million of EBIT. If closing transactions go to 10k per year it would add about $4 million of EBIT. And with 25k transactions $FTHM could see an excess of $12.5 million of EBIT

Conservatively 5k agents x 5 closings = 25k or 12.5 MM 💪
13/ They are continuing to leverage their high-efficiency model to maintain sustained future growth through opportunities such as:

✅Adding ancillary services (mortgage, insurance, lead sales)
✅Enhancing their technology platform
✅Finding ways to increase agent productivity
14/ $FTHM is in 27 states. Because of their technology-driven model, it is a very low cost to enter a new market 📪compared to competitors.
15/ $FTHM management

Joshua Harley - Founder and been with Fathom for over 11 years. 🚨HUGE inside ownership 🚨 Owns 36.3%

Grady Ligon - recently hired as CIO from Berkshire Hathaway Home Services 🤯
16/ Financial Check

Total revenue 💸 - $123.4 MM which is up 58% compared to 2019

Est. Rev growth of 29% 📈

Cash 💵 of $31.0 MM up from 579k in 2019 (mostly from IPO)

Gross Margins are 5-6% compared to competitors around 8-10% 🚩

Operating expenses up from 1.98 MM to 3.11 MM
17/ Risks

⚠️ Small Cap company (~ 500 MM market cap) with low volume

⚠️ Margins currently lower than competition

⚠️ Operating at a net loss and will need sustained growth for a path to profitability

⚠️ P/S has jumped over 3 from ~1.5 recently. Next earnings on 2/10/21.
18/ Overall I think there is a huge opportunity for growth and future success. I think the estimates might be too conservative given the easy scalability, low attrition rates, and housing tailwinds. I am long $FTHM and it is quickly becoming a top holding 🙌🏆
19/ Let me know what you think below!

I originally bought for $16 on 9/9/20 but I don’t see $FTHM talked about often so wanted to make a 🧵

*This is not intended to be a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold. I encourage everyone to do your own research and due diligence*
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