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I'm a JCPOA supporter.
@mdubowitz and @rich_goldberg write that JCPOA advocates "avoid debating the many fallacies inherent in returning to the agreement".
Challenge accepted. [Thread] https://twitter.com/ForeignPolicy/status/1347596526282043394
@mdubowitz and @rich_goldberg write that JCPOA advocates "avoid debating the many fallacies inherent in returning to the agreement".
Challenge accepted. [Thread] https://twitter.com/ForeignPolicy/status/1347596526282043394
2| One criticism is sunsets. Yes, some nuke restrictions will be lifted over time. But max pressure has moved those forward: Uranium at 3.67%/300kg broken in 2019 instead of 2031. If concern is "patient pathways", why make them impatient pathways? https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/iran/2017-10-03/iranian-nuclear-deals-sunset-clauses
3| More broadly, undermining a deal that puts restrictions in place without having a serious alternative means you lose the restrictions you already have. That's the opposite of useful, as the Israeli military rightly appreciated:
4| Another tired line of argumentation: JCPOA didn't address missile testing.
Sorry to break it to you, but as Trump's own State Department notes, under "max pressure" this has gotten worse.
Sorry to break it to you, but as Trump's own State Department notes, under "max pressure" this has gotten worse.
5| Another argument: "max pressure is only a year or so old... the peak of impact of max pressure is still to come".
As delightful as it is to base your case on the ability to besiege a country of 82 million, this may not be the case.
As delightful as it is to base your case on the ability to besiege a country of 82 million, this may not be the case.
6| Ironically, the same people who say sanctions didn't have enough time to deliver result are quick to condemn the JCPOA, which was only in effect for 11 months before Trump started chipping away at it... How about giving diplomacy more time?
7| Next critique: the deal is flawed bc Iran was allowed to keep enrichment capabilities.
What the deal did was cap those capabilities. The Bush and Trump admins insisted on zero enrichment, and look what they got for it? A growing number of zeros in front of centrifuge numbers
What the deal did was cap those capabilities. The Bush and Trump admins insisted on zero enrichment, and look what they got for it? A growing number of zeros in front of centrifuge numbers
8|8 JCPOA critics had 4 years to deliver a better deal, 2.5 years of max pressure, 1500 sanctions.
They delivered a bigger Iranian nuclear program and "leverage" without results.
What doesn't make sense is taking any more of their advice.
They delivered a bigger Iranian nuclear program and "leverage" without results.
What doesn't make sense is taking any more of their advice.
