The real, still unanswered question on Brexit is the extent to which the Govt will exercise its new “freedom to diverge“ from EU. The jury is not so much out as not yet sitting: Govt insiders suggest @BorisJohnson has not yet made up his mind 1/
There are reports that Govt will seek inputs from Business. That will be a piece of it. But as always, the politics within the Tory Party will provide a better guide for where the Govt - & UK - ultimately ends up 2/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-01-06/u-k-s-johnson-holds-brexit-covid-call-with-250-business-chiefs
In my piece for @politicshome, I argue that while €sceptic ideologues are itching to see an early act of divergence, pragmatic Eurosceptics are more cautious. The compromise? Symbolic - not substantive - divergence is probably more likely in the short term 3/
The medium/long term picture is less clear. But I remain of view that the “platform” for building on this deal & sponsoring closer links with EU will probs get smaller, not bigger, over time. Primarily because of politics within @UKLabour. Full essay here https://www.politicshome.com/thehouse/article/britain-has-left-europe-what-next