Read on Twitter
1/x
Here we see Robert Greenhill, merchant of lockdowns making the argument that some Near-zero covid strategies have performed superiorly.
TANZANC model success stories? Taiwan, Australia, New Zealand and Atlantic and Northern Canada
Where did we go wrong?
A thread https://twitter.com/RobertGreenhill/status/1345082820159541249
Here we see Robert Greenhill, merchant of lockdowns making the argument that some Near-zero covid strategies have performed superiorly.
TANZANC model success stories? Taiwan, Australia, New Zealand and Atlantic and Northern Canada
Where did we go wrong?
A thread https://twitter.com/RobertGreenhill/status/1345082820159541249
2/x
Supposed successful strategies
Taiwan https://www.wired.co.uk/article/taiwan-coronavirus-covid-response
Australia https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/australia-coronavirus-cases-melbourne-lockdown/2020/11/05/96c198b2-1cb7-11eb-ad53-4c1fda49907d_story.html
New Zealand https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-53274085
Supposed successful strategies
Taiwan https://www.wired.co.uk/article/taiwan-coronavirus-covid-response
Australia https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/australia-coronavirus-cases-melbourne-lockdown/2020/11/05/96c198b2-1cb7-11eb-ad53-4c1fda49907d_story.html
New Zealand https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-53274085
3/x
The TANZANC model also touts Atlantic (NB, NS, PEI and Nfld and Labrador) and Northern (Yukon, NWT and Nunavut) Canada as winning examples to follow in the quest for zero.
It mentions travel restrictions and related quarantine but little else
https://global-canada.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/The-Potential-For-Getting-to-Zero-in-Canada-Version-2.1.pdf
The TANZANC model also touts Atlantic (NB, NS, PEI and Nfld and Labrador) and Northern (Yukon, NWT and Nunavut) Canada as winning examples to follow in the quest for zero.
It mentions travel restrictions and related quarantine but little else
https://global-canada.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/The-Potential-For-Getting-to-Zero-in-Canada-Version-2.1.pdf
4/x
Border closures and squashed civil right aside, what else might TANZANC have gotten right?
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=earliest..latest&country=CAN~AUS~NZL~TWN®ion=World&casesMetric=true&interval=daily&hideControls=true&perCapita=true&smoothing=0&pickerMetric=location&pickerSort=asc
Border closures and squashed civil right aside, what else might TANZANC have gotten right?
https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=earliest..latest&country=CAN~AUS~NZL~TWN®ion=World&casesMetric=true&interval=daily&hideControls=true&perCapita=true&smoothing=0&pickerMetric=location&pickerSort=asc
5/x
Taiwan.
Taiwan has been testing asymptomatic people since May 22nd but importantly, *confirmed cases do not include asymptomatic positives*
Read that again.
https://sites.google.com/cdc.gov.tw/2019-ncov/taiwan
Taiwan.
Taiwan has been testing asymptomatic people since May 22nd but importantly, *confirmed cases do not include asymptomatic positives*
Read that again.
https://sites.google.com/cdc.gov.tw/2019-ncov/taiwan
6/x
Australia.
See this thread explaining how Australia tests for more than one gene and has a process to rule out false positive results.
*Since writing this thread, Australia has changed it’s testing policy to include asymptomatic people. https://twitter.com/kishkitsch/status/1341771094915735557?s=20
Australia.
See this thread explaining how Australia tests for more than one gene and has a process to rule out false positive results.
*Since writing this thread, Australia has changed it’s testing policy to include asymptomatic people. https://twitter.com/kishkitsch/status/1341771094915735557?s=20
7/x
New Zealand.
According to this document, https://www.health.govt.nz/system/files/documents/pages/mid-term_national_testing_strategy_covid-19_june_2020.pdf
PCR positive PCR results are confirmed using whole genomic sequencing.
New Zealand.
According to this document, https://www.health.govt.nz/system/files/documents/pages/mid-term_national_testing_strategy_covid-19_june_2020.pdf
PCR positive PCR results are confirmed using whole genomic sequencing.
8/x
New Zealand cont’d
This list of active LOINC codes shows that like Australia (and unlike Ontario), New Zealand is testing for all genes.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwi0utyLg4vuAhVEhOAKHXV9A_wQFjABegQIAxAC&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.health.govt.nz%2Fsystem%2Ffiles%2Fdocuments%2Fpublications%2Fcovid-19-loinc-nzpocs-changes-1-october-2020.xlsx&usg=AOvVaw1LTQ4LIFBkPCrLNqdet9So
New Zealand cont’d
This list of active LOINC codes shows that like Australia (and unlike Ontario), New Zealand is testing for all genes.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web&cd=&ved=2ahUKEwi0utyLg4vuAhVEhOAKHXV9A_wQFjABegQIAxAC&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.health.govt.nz%2Fsystem%2Ffiles%2Fdocuments%2Fpublications%2Fcovid-19-loinc-nzpocs-changes-1-october-2020.xlsx&usg=AOvVaw1LTQ4LIFBkPCrLNqdet9So
9/x
Atlantic and Northern Canada
Is this really a fair comparison?
Pop Total tests % tested
NWT > 45,074 10,061 22%
NB > 781,315 150,500 19%
ON > 14,733,119 8,294,922 56%
Atlantic and Northern Canada
Is this really a fair comparison?
Pop Total tests % tested
NWT > 45,074 10,061 22%
NB > 781,315 150,500 19%
ON > 14,733,119 8,294,922 56%
10/10
Quit the gaslighting, Greenhill.
We're not buying what you're selling.
Not from you, not from @fordnation and not from any of the lunatics from Dala Lana.
Quit the gaslighting, Greenhill.
We're not buying what you're selling.
Not from you, not from @fordnation and not from any of the lunatics from Dala Lana.
