Just trying to take stock (1): There has been an attempted coup in the US. It involved planning, not just 'spontaneous' mob action. But it wasn't planned very well or seriously. It was a coup in two steps:

Two part coup (2): First there was a soft coup led by far-right Republicans voting to disqualify electors. Then there was a hard coup by a mob which broke off from a larger rally at which Trump exhorted them to confrontation.

Behind the coup (3): years of building far right networks, months of drumming up anger, weeks of claiming the 2020 election was stolen. Some of this was 'lateral' organizing among ordinary citizens; a lot was top down from right wing elites and officials.

Coups need splits in the power structure (4): Divisions in the Republican party encouraged the plotters and the mob and weakened effective response. Had this been a Black Lives Matter protest, no matter how peaceful, more force would have been deployed (and itself planned).

So where do we stand (5)? The coup seems to have failed (so far). Transition in government will proceed. Democrats will have control of the Senate with the victories from Georgia. Trump is diminished. His fellow-travelers may be chastened.

But there are still big risks (6): One of the best predictors of civic violence is previous civic violence. There could be more events. There need to be prosecutions but not over-reactions. We need to build national unity, but by solving problems together not papering them over.