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Myth: The 2010s stock market was once-in-a-lifetime. You'll never get an investment opportunity like it again.
Facts
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Facts
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In the nine decades since 1930, the stock market:
• Shrank in two decades
• Grew in seven decades
• Avg'd 5.7% annual growth w/out reinvesting dividends
• Avg'd 9.7% with dividends
Ups and downs
Many waves
• Shrank in two decades
• Grew in seven decades
• Avg'd 5.7% annual growth w/out reinvesting dividends
• Avg'd 9.7% with dividends
Ups and downs
Many waves
The 2010s felt *great*
We bounced back from the Global Financial Crisis.
The bull ran the whole decade
FAANG stocks took off
This is...pretty good!
We bounced back from the Global Financial Crisis.
The bull ran the whole decade
FAANG stocks took off
This is...pretty good!
And yet, the 2010s come in 4th outta the 9 decades since 1930.
Avg'd 11.6% returns before divs
Avg'd 13.2% returns after divs
Those are solid returns
But 4th outta 9 isn't world-shattering.
Avg'd 11.6% returns before divs
Avg'd 13.2% returns after divs
Those are solid returns
But 4th outta 9 isn't world-shattering.
But let's look at ALL 10 year periods in history, including random ones like [April '65 to March '75]
The 2010s rank in the 74th percentile in that lineup
That's solid. But it's not like you'll never see that opportunity again.
The 2010s rank in the 74th percentile in that lineup
That's solid. But it's not like you'll never see that opportunity again.
Alas, the future is a mystery.
Neither I, nor you, nor the many experts on Wall Street can predict it.
[Insert your favorite market timing quote HERE.]
Go ahead.
You know what I'm talking about.
Pull out your Bogle, your Buffett, your Ben Graham
Neither I, nor you, nor the many experts on Wall Street can predict it.
[Insert your favorite market timing quote HERE.]
Go ahead.
You know what I'm talking about.
Pull out your Bogle, your Buffett, your Ben Graham
I’m not sure *when* the 2010s will happen again.
But I’m pretty confident *if* they’ll happen again.
They will. The math says so.
But I’m pretty confident *if* they’ll happen again.
They will. The math says so.
While I’m sure the market will drop at some point, it’s hard to make money unless you can pinpoint both:
1) the right time to sell
and
2) the right time to buy back in
Do you feel lucky enough for that?
1) the right time to sell
and
2) the right time to buy back in
Do you feel lucky enough for that?
Not lucky? Same here.
Just think of oncoming waves
There will be crests
troughs
some splashes
…then more waves
The low-risk, low-stress method is to neither predict their timing nor their height
Just ride em out
It's in your...Best Interest
Thanks for reading. You rock
Just think of oncoming waves
There will be crests
troughs
some splashes
…then more waves
The low-risk, low-stress method is to neither predict their timing nor their height
Just ride em out
It's in your...Best Interest
Thanks for reading. You rock
