1/3
WHAT LIFE IS LOST AS A SIDE EFFECT OF LOCKDOWN?
Prof Simon Wood, Uni of Edinburgh, estimates:
Grey: due to general economic deprivation
Black: extra life lost due to the economic crash of 2008
Red : covid with "less mitigation than anyone is proposing"
WHAT LIFE IS LOST AS A SIDE EFFECT OF LOCKDOWN?
Prof Simon Wood, Uni of Edinburgh, estimates:
Grey: due to general economic deprivation
Black: extra life lost due to the economic crash of 2008
Red : covid with "less mitigation than anyone is proposing"
2/3
The deadly impact of 2008 can be estimated but not yet 2020
For lockdown to be justified, "we require the current economic shock, which is much larger than 2008, to result in much smaller life loss than was associated with 2008"
On this basis Lockdown is a terrible mistake
The deadly impact of 2008 can be estimated but not yet 2020
For lockdown to be justified, "we require the current economic shock, which is much larger than 2008, to result in much smaller life loss than was associated with 2008"
On this basis Lockdown is a terrible mistake
3/3
The Prof's calcs do not reflect shorter term effects of e.g. cancelled cancer screening etc nor the intangible value of liberty.
Those who impose lockdown without factoring in a proper cost benefit analysis may be culpable on a genocidal level
https://www.maths.ed.ac.uk/~swood34/
The Prof's calcs do not reflect shorter term effects of e.g. cancelled cancer screening etc nor the intangible value of liberty.
Those who impose lockdown without factoring in a proper cost benefit analysis may be culpable on a genocidal level
https://www.maths.ed.ac.uk/~swood34/