Doesn't @RCPath have anything to say on this? Even if it is to rule out what looks obvious.

Why are we seeing:

- moderately elevated all-cause mortality

- mirrored excess in Covid deaths / deficit in non-Covid deaths

...when we have restricted NHS access for most of 2020?

So what about cases / testing. The situation looks particularly dire in London, the epicentre of the current "2nd wave".

Here are case numbers:

Cases started rising in October.

What about deaths?

Deaths registered:

And deaths by occurrence date:

The first thing I note is that looking at excess deaths is sensitive enough to detect the week 33 heatwave.

But reported Covid deaths numbers bear no relation to reality.

There is very little or no excess deaths in London at present and hasn't been since the heatwave.

In the Spring, cases reflected excess deaths. Whilst we must have been missing some cases, you would surely expect to see SOME signal in excess mortality if cases started rising so sharply in October.

Are we waiting 2 weeks again? Just how long are we to wait?

Attribution issue in London?

Cause by date of registration:

Any by occurrence:

More bonkers data - why are case rises in lockstep across the whole country. This is positivity data normalised to 21 Dec with thanks to @surbitonsteve

Not natural.

(Here's the non-normalised data)

How about Scotland - this is data exactly as it is, NOT normalised:

Is there a biological explanation for this?

Data anomalies such as the above have been a feature of the pandemic since June.

Given your de facto status as the institution responsible for oversight of diagnostics, it seems to be extraordinary that you are not investigating the quality of the testing.

I knew there was something I had forgotten... https://twitter.com/jengleruk/status/1345291960567926784?s=20