When the world's most powerful country is so divided, everybody has a problem.

Joe Biden’s term opens the era of the asterisk presidency, when the occupant of the Oval Office is seen as illegitimate by roughly half the country.

Citizens around the world are more optimistic that life will begin to return to normal; but neither the coronavirus nor its wide-ranging impacts will disappear once widespread vaccination begins.

There will be costs for companies and investors that come from greater climate ambition and risks that come from over-estimating how well-coordinated new climate plans will be.

US efforts to enlist allies, vaccine diplomacy, and climate tech competition will interact with longstanding tensions to further complicate US-China relations.

To those who say that data is the new oil: Here comes the new Great Game.

A combination of low-probability, high-impact risks and inexorable technology trends make 2021 the year that cyber conflict will create unprecedented technological and geopolitical risk.

Erdogan’s misadventures will boomerang painfully against the economy, because Turkey needs international goodwill to revitalize growth.

Energy prices will remain low, even as vaccine distribution ramps up, keeping the pressure on governments that already faced instability before Covid-19 struck.

Angela Merkel has been Europe’s most important leader, and her departure later in 2021 after 15 years as chancellor drives the continent’s top risk.

As Latin America emerges from the pandemic, it will face sharper versions of the political, social, and economic problems it was confronting before the crisis.

To view Trump-friendly leaders as doomed to four years of pain from Washington underestimates the incoming administration’s willingness to engage their governments on matters of shared interest.

To view Trump-friendly leaders as doomed to four years of pain from Washington underestimates the incoming administration’s willingness to engage their governments on matters of shared interest.

To view Trump-friendly leaders as doomed to four years of pain from Washington underestimates the incoming administration’s willingness to engage their governments on matters of shared interest.

When the world's most powerful country is so divided, everybody has a problem.