This is preposterous. There is a vanishingly small chance that reports of COVID cases/deaths are “exaggerated”—in fact, there is a significant chance that those counts are underreported by 15–30%. https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1345720107255926784
Over several months, I have curated a thread about counting cases and deaths. Counts are difficult for the reasons detailed below, but there are lots of reasons to believe that we are vastly underestimating COVID count indicators. https://twitter.com/profhalloran/status/1234842351018954753
Also, any talk of “exaggerated” count measures should be placed in the context of the excess deaths reported in 2020—which *far* exceed the expected mortality for the year.
(cc: @ffish)
(cc: @ffish)
Here’s a short thread on excess all-cause mortality in the context of COVID deaths (in short, this backs up the idea that we’re waaay undercounting COVID deaths): https://twitter.com/profhalloran/status/1339676221563650048