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***THREAD***
Last time around I wrote a buy high thread about Calvin Ridley. This time I’ll give you a buy low. Dove into a player you shouldnt forget about. Maybe not top 10 player like Ridley, but offers low cost with good, possibly great upside.
The case for Blake Jarwin
Last time around I wrote a buy high thread about Calvin Ridley. This time I’ll give you a buy low. Dove into a player you shouldnt forget about. Maybe not top 10 player like Ridley, but offers low cost with good, possibly great upside.
The case for Blake Jarwin
First of all, let’s state the obvious. An ACL tear is never a good thing. However, the injury occurred in week 1. He’s only 26, & with that amount of time to heal, he should be just fine. Should have no issues getting back to 100%. He’s already working on the field.
Jarwin popped against the Giants in week 17 of 2018, as he torched them for 7/119/3. This performance & great training camp in 2019 put Dallas on notice. They had seen the improvement & allowed him to learn as the #2 TE behind Witten in his final campaign in Dallas.
His reliable hands (career 75.6% catch rate) & straight line speed allowed him to post efficient #’s with limited touches in 2019. Among TE’s he was top 6 in Y/Tgt at 8.9, top 12 in Y/catch at 11.8, top 8 in Y/route at 2.37 & top 7 in fantasy pts per target at 2.07 respectively.
His efficiency & growth as a player convinced Dallas to sign him to a 3 yr extension worth $24 mill last offseason, locking him in for 4 more years. They had the option of keeping him 1 more year at $3 mill. This silenced any confusion about who their future #1 TE was.
There’s no ignoring the decent season Schultz has had in relief of Jarwin. But that’s the thing; he’s filling a spot. This speaks more to the role than the player. Jarwin is no stud, but he’s shown he’s the superior receiving threat & is much better after the catch.
Schultz barely saw the field behind an aging Witten & Jarwin last year. In fact, Schultz only saw double digit snaps in 5 games. When he played, he blocked. He logged a virtually nonexistent 2 targets all szn on 117 snaps, while Jarwin had over 4x the snaps.
Jarwin profiles better athletically, earned a spot ahead of Schultz (despite being an UDFA while Schultz was taken in the 4th as a blocker) & looks better on film. I’m not concerned about Schultz possibly taking the lead role, and you shouldn’t be either.
If you’re worried about both being on the field simultaneously, dont be. Dallas runs 11 personnel at the 8th highest rate in the league at 70%. Their trio of WRs ensures this trend will continue 2021. W/ only 1 TE in the game in that formation, u can bet #89 is gettin those snaps
Jarwin should mostly be targeted in redraft, but he is only 26. There’s uncertainty with the QB position to be sure, but if Dak resigns in Dallas, Jarwin is immediately a top 15+ dynasty TE. Again, he’s no stud, but the role in that offense presents immense opportunity.
Don’t get caught up in the Schultz production, and don’t forget about an injured Jarwin just because he’s not a pro-bowler. He’s not a league winner, but he comes at super low cost that should return decent, possibly really good value. Take advantage while you can.
Bonus fact: in 2019 he had 208 yds before contact & 157 yds after contact, good for 5.1 YAC/catch. That # is good for top 11 in 2019 & top 8 in 2020 among TE’s. Underrated aspect of his game. He’s a plus athlete who’s film indicates he has improved upon his above average speed.
RT’s would be gr8. @force_fantasy @FF_RTDB @PauliesSleepers @DaddysHomeFF @SWallace_FF @_TightenUp_ @dynastymasters @stpatrickff @Dynasty_Addicts @ff_intervention @FFParks @DynastyJacobian @ElvinRyan_FF @FFBaldMan @Jizzernaut @MyFantasyLeague @FF_ImBq @mediocracya @cooterdoodle
