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The tricky/frustrating part about the Mon-Wed forecast is that the feature of interest is a stalling cutoff low that gets swept up in a developing gyre.
So we'll have a ~60hr window where snow is possible, and not much separates 60hrs of flurries (meh) from steady snow (big).
So we'll have a ~60hr window where snow is possible, and not much separates 60hrs of flurries (meh) from steady snow (big).
Furthermore, while usually there are 2-4 disturbances aloft that really weigh heavily on the forecast outcome, in this case there are 6-7 by my count.
That means twice the opportunity for error with ~2-3x the consequences due to longer duration! Yikes!
That means twice the opportunity for error with ~2-3x the consequences due to longer duration! Yikes!
At this point, I'm leaning more towards the lighter snow solution here given how freakishly hard it is to pull off extended steady snow in New England.
So roads could/will be slick anytime Sun PM-Wed PM.
Still unsure whether impacts would go beyond that.
So roads could/will be slick anytime Sun PM-Wed PM.
Still unsure whether impacts would go beyond that.
Anyways, even if we miss out on this one, we'll only have to wait until *checks notes* Friday for yet another potential snowstorm as the active Pacific jet sends another upper-level low across the country.
Wax up those powdah skis folks!
Wax up those powdah skis folks!
