There is no upside to #ForceThe Vote, you say? OK, lets look at the flow chart:

1. The Squad doesn't demand anything from Pelosi for their Speaker vote, showing that party leadership is more important to them than promises to their voters. They get pushback from their base.

2. Some progressive Dems decide that #ForceTheVote is a good strategy, and hold their vote hostage. Pelosi buckles to pressure and brings M4A to the floor. It doesn't pass the House, exposing the Democrats as a center-right party and *opening a lane for a leftist third party.*

3. Progressive Dems hold their vote hostage, and Pelosi STILL refuses to bring M4A to the floor. The Squad votes for her anyway. Their voters are furious, so they face tough primaries against anti-establishment populist Dems. The Overton window in DC moves further to the left.

4. Pelosi STILL refuses to bring M4A to the floor. The Squad keeps their promise and forms a bloc against her; she barely scrapes by on confirmation, so she won, but now she is afraid of them. It creates a model for leveraging power in upcoming budget fights.

5. Pelosi still refuses to bring M4A to the floor. The Squad follows through; they rally the numbers to vote her down, and now she is terrified of them. She brings M4A to the floor (see 2#) & becomes speaker in Round 2. It creates a model for leveraging power in budget fights.

6. Pelosi refuses to bring M4A to the floor. ForceTheVote Dems follow through, rallying the numbers to block her speakership. In her unparalleled hubris, she STILL doesn't bring M4A to the floor. Dems vote in a new Speaker (say, Barbara Lee) who promises put it to a vote ASAP.

7. (Alternate to #2:) Some progressive Dems decide that #ForceTheVote is a good strategy. Pelosi buckles to pressure and brings M4A to the floor. It passes the House but dies in the Senate. Voters are furious at GOP & corp. Dem Senators. M4A becomes the deciding issue in 2022.

8. Pelosi buckles to pressure, and brings M4A to the floor. Against all expectations, it passes the House and Senate, because Dems and even some GOP members realize that incumbents face a real chance of being unseated if they vote against life-saving healthcare in a pandemic.

9. Against all expectations, #MedicareForAll passes the House and Senate. Biden follows through on his promise to veto. Voters are furious. The Democratic party loses any remaining credibility, paving the way for @PeoplesParty_US and others. M4A is the deciding issue in 2022.

10. Biden—despite promising to veto—either finds his conscience, thinks about what he wants his legacy to be, responds to party pressure and/or reads the writing on the wall.. and signs Medicare For All into law. Everyone now has health insurance that will never bankrupt them.