Core rates from the CDC!
Some takeaways:
- The rate of hospitalization is now the same rate of being hospitalized from influenza: 3%
- The CFR drop is spectacular. Team Apocalypse has a problem
- If you got #COVID19 consider yourself lucky, you coulda got sick in NYC in March
1/
These stats are taken from the newly release CDC Case Surveillance file with 13 million cases, 703K hospitalizations, 75K ICUs, and 239K deaths. More stats across the entire pandemic (thru 12/15):
2/
I mentioned Team Apocalypse has a problem. They will tell you that the hospitalization and CFR rates are much lower now because we are testing more.

What's that you say? Are you saying you agree with Team Reason that the testing regime is overblown? Sweet music to my ears!
3/
Regardless, our healthcare system (the best in the world) has found significant ways to reduce the deaths from hospitalizations and ICUs. Look at the drops in rates from quarter to quarter.
- Hosp. rate drops by 700%
- ICU rate drops by 270%
- Deaths rate from hosp. down 169%
4/
OK. Now watch this. Looks the massive drop in hospitalization risk and death if you have NO EXISTING MEDICAL CONDITION.
You are 7x less likely to die from COVID if you have no significant existing medical condition.
5/
And then if you add age into the equation you can see that the incredible shift in risk to yourself and loved ones if you are under the age of 65.

More to come!
You can follow @justin_hart.
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