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There are 4possibilities:-
A-Except Congress ,no party will face wholesale defection.
B-Some Left MLAs ,lone BSP MLAs will jump ship.
C-Nitish Kumar won't ditch BJP and go with MGB
D-BJP may have own CM after Bengal. https://twitter.com/Pinkesh80864128/status/1344594792043352064
A-Except Congress ,no party will face wholesale defection.
B-Some Left MLAs ,lone BSP MLAs will jump ship.
C-Nitish Kumar won't ditch BJP and go with MGB
D-BJP may have own CM after Bengal. https://twitter.com/Pinkesh80864128/status/1344594792043352064
Explanations of each possibilities..
A.-Congress is suffering from factionalism.There are power tussle between Ajit Sharma (Bhagalpur MLA) and Sidharth (Bikram mla).Apart from it many Old congressi like khagria MLA wants to part of govt to remain relevant in politics
A.-Congress is suffering from factionalism.There are power tussle between Ajit Sharma (Bhagalpur MLA) and Sidharth (Bikram mla).Apart from it many Old congressi like khagria MLA wants to part of govt to remain relevant in politics
There is possiblities that Ajit Sharma along with some other MLAs from seemanchal region may join JDU as he was trying before election too.
B.-Some left MLAs and lone BSP MLA have some personal connect with NK. As NK wants to improve his numerical strength,it's highly possible that 4left MLAs from Central bihar and sahabad region and 2from Tirhut will jump ship.
C.-Before explaining why NK won't ditch BJP ,it's important to explain why he did two times before. In 2013,he ditched NDA in greed of Muslim vote.NK in 2013 estimated that in 2014there will be hung mandate and in Bihar along with left ,JDU will bag 15-18 seats
and become one of prominent force.But his plan shattered because BJP got full majority and JDU won only 2seats(Nalanda and purnia). Dalit,non kurrmi OBCs and UCs didn't vote JDU in 2014, therefore post election he made Jiten Ram Manjhi as CM to regain Dalit vote.
Again in 2017,he left MGB because of 3reasons.
1-Strong Central government and very active national president (Amit shah).BJP started to launch massive campaign to grow it's footprint among Mahadalit and OBCs which used to constituency of NK.
1-Strong Central government and very active national president (Amit shah).BJP started to launch massive campaign to grow it's footprint among Mahadalit and OBCs which used to constituency of NK.
2-NK has a clean image but due to corruption of Lalu family this image has a serious threat. Problem got aggravated once Tejaswi yadav name was surfaced in one scam and he was deputy of NK.
3-Growing demands from RJD camp to make Tejaswi as a CM after 2.5years because RJD was SLP having 80 seats.
Now why NK won't ditch BJP ,there are 4reasons...
1-RJD won't offer him CM post.
2-Tejaswi still have corruption charge against him.
Now why NK won't ditch BJP ,there are 4reasons...
1-RJD won't offer him CM post.
2-Tejaswi still have corruption charge against him.
3-Strong Central government is still there and NK himself asked vote on Modi name during election.Credibility issue will emerge now .
4- BJP and RJD has almost same number,how come NK able to run a pressure free government. So he will have same situation in both alliance.
4- BJP and RJD has almost same number,how come NK able to run a pressure free government. So he will have same situation in both alliance.
D.-why BJP may have own CM.
With growing assertiveness of BJP ,NK may step down and ask BJP to install own CM.There is possibility of it as NK wants to decrease anti incumbency against him and it's perfect way to do so. According to me post Bengal we will see a BJP CM.
With growing assertiveness of BJP ,NK may step down and ask BJP to install own CM.There is possibility of it as NK wants to decrease anti incumbency against him and it's perfect way to do so. According to me post Bengal we will see a BJP CM.
