2020 was a weird one but I learned some important things and want to share it.

I started the year with ~30% of my portfolio in Brazilian equities, I was already feeling uneasy about this, but I live in Brazil and you know how it is. 1/x
In the beginning of the year I found an account called @INVESTMENTSHULK that at first look you can mistake for a joke. It's an anonymous account that posts in all caps and had some really weird videos about China. 2/x
I mean, you can call him a fraud, say the videos are made up, but I figured that even if the disease wasn't as bad as it looked, if the panic, lockdowns, etc. that he was talking about spread, the economy would take a hit.

Call me crazy but after following Hulk for a while 3/x
I sold my Brazilian Banks. A position that I had for a while and would cost me in taxes.

I also went shopping and prepared - that was a weird conversation with my wife (I have a pic) 4/x
Ok, so I was "ready", but unfortunately I still had about 70% of my original brazilian position. If you were feeling bad in March, imagine when your currency looses an additional 30% of value.

I should have sold everything, right? I was kinda stuck until 5/x
The news about Barry Diller buying MGM came in. Barry was calling it a "once in a decade opportunity" and I said "fuck it" for the second time and decided to buy MGM and get rid of my brazilian stocks- I did it after the pop when the news came out. 6/x
I made money on that, and more important, I decided that if they were finding good deals I also could. So I changed gears and decided to try and make some money instead of avoiding to loose more. 7/x
I also bought some $DIS before Third Point and was very happy with the event where they seemed to learn with Tesla and announced a bunch of stuff and who cares if it will be any good. It can be all Kylo Ren from here but the stock is up and I was happy. 8/x
I ended the year slightly above the S&P500. I know, a lot of people are gloating about 300% but I Started with freaking 1/3 in taxable brazilian equities. I'm fairly happy.

What did I learn? 9/
First, Information is information. There are Nobel Prize winners writing complete nonsense, and there are anonymous accounts on twitter that can add value. I met some people here I even consider friends. 10/x
There are trolls, yeah, but some people have good reasons to be anonymous, don't discount them.

About the non-anonymous accounts, it's incredible how much people share here (the most valuable are probably the ones not trying to sell you something). 11/x
Lesson number 2: We love to talk about "research" etc. but in the real World we don't get points for being creative. You get points for winning.

I used to think "those idiots are buying Apple after Buffett" but the truth is that some of those idiots do pretty good. 12/x
So, I learned that if you're doing it to feel smart, you're doing it wrong.

If you want to feel smart write a book or something like that, in the stock market you don't have anything to prove.

Just be humble, learn from people who are smarter, and you'll be fine.
You can follow @fabiozugman.
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