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We are going to discuss this on the pod tomorrow, but @fbref reveals interesting data for VCF.
- With Gabriel on the field, both our average expected goals (XG) goes up and our expected goals against (XGA) goes down
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- With Gabriel on the field, both our average expected goals (XG) goes up and our expected goals against (XGA) goes down
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With Mangala on the field, the opposite is true. Both the XG goes way down and XGA goes way up (even bigger swings than with Gabriel on)
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Passing statistics shows what we lose with Gabriel out and Mangala in. While Gabriel passes with 86 percent accuracy, Mangala has 68 percent accuracy. More striking is the delta between the two in long passes (66 percent for Paulista and 37 percent for Mangala)
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The best passing CB is actually not Paulista but Guillamon with 88% accuracy and a whopping 75% accuracy for long passes. That is second only to Racic, who has the best accuracy rate on long passes even tho he doesn’t have the best accuracy rate for short passes (77%)
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Diakhaby’s are pretty good (85% overall and 67% for long passes). Based on XG and XGA data, Mangala is more bad than Paulista is good, meaning we are better off with Diakhaby and Guillamon than Paulista and Mangala
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In other words, we need a new center back to replace Mangala. He is hurting the team significantly. We have one excellent CB (Paulista) and two developing but promising CBS (Diakhaby and Guillamon). We just need to add one more to the mix to get better results
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We will discuss overall trends on the pod tomorrow and dive into other trends in the coming week. Happy New Year Amunt family, let’s hope 2021 treats us better than 2020!
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