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Predictions for 2021: I think President-elect Joe Biden and his administration will get stuck in the mud pretty fast. No matter how Georgia shakes out, he just won't have legislative majorities big enough to pass much that will be controversial. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
As vice president, Kamala Harris will step on administration messages, needlessly antagonize and provoke the opposition, and frequently seem to forget that she’s vice president, not co-president. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
Trump leaves office with enemies who smell blood in the water. He’ll spend a lot of 2021 dealing with investigations and lawsuits. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
I suspect Twitter will attempt to shut down Trump’s account shortly after he leaves the presidency. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
I’m not so sure Trump will end up creating “Trump TV.” Starting from scratch would be a lot of work, and if Trump were to formally join Newsmax or OAN, they would want to minimize his appearances on other networks and programs. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
In “Hunting Four Horsemen,” I envisioned a post-pandemic America and world that was still suffering a psychological and economic hangover. But pent up demand might create an economic surge as the year goes by. https://amzn.to/3kwFMep
Biden’s win over Bernie Sanders in the primary and the Republican down-ticket wins of November were about as clear and thorough a rejection of socialism and woke-ism as the electorate could deliver. But a lot of elites will pretend they didn’t hear it. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
My fear is that the desire to leave this horrible experience behind us means we will ignore some hard lessons — about our relationship with China, the illegal animal trade, the prevalence of wet markets in Asia, and the safety precautions in labs working with contagious viruses.
I fear the “restorationist” foreign-policy thinkers in the Biden administration will win out over the “reformist” crowd. Confrontation with China is the harder path, at least in the short run. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
One hard lesson of 2020 is that the institutions with duties to inform the public adapted to the incentive structure of “clickbait” — “hot takes,” etc. — and somewhere along the line, forgot how to do their original jobs. I doubt that will change in 2021. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
Other predictions: Stephen Breyer retires from the Supreme Court, setting up a relatively low-intensity confirmation battle to replace him. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
Vladimir Putin continues deny rumors of serious health issues, but his public appearances grow less frequent, and the explanations for his sickly appearance grow less plausible. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Green Bay Packers in the Super Bowl. The Jaguars pick Lawrence (duh) and the Jets select QB Zach Wilson of BYU. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
Whatever the political world holds, I hope 2021 brings you peace, prosperity, reassurance, and good cheer. After getting through this year, you’ve earned it. https://bit.ly/3mVZKAJ
