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I've run into the 10,000,00 post-lockdown Wuhan study being misused, so let's dive in.
Between May 14 and June 1, Wuhan, China, 9,899,828 people had nucleic acid screening done.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-19802-w
First and foremost - the strain of CoVid common there was the Wuhan
Between May 14 and June 1, Wuhan, China, 9,899,828 people had nucleic acid screening done.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-19802-w
First and foremost - the strain of CoVid common there was the Wuhan
strain (WT).
The strain common today is the D614G strain. One that is 10-fold more transmissible than WT.
https://www.genengnews.com/news/prevalent-sars-cov-2-strain-more-transmissible-no-less-vulnerable-to-vaccines/
So, we are asked to take data ON TRANSMISSIBILITY, from a strain far less contagious, and base public policy on that data?
Apples and oranges.
The strain common today is the D614G strain. One that is 10-fold more transmissible than WT.
https://www.genengnews.com/news/prevalent-sars-cov-2-strain-more-transmissible-no-less-vulnerable-to-vaccines/
So, we are asked to take data ON TRANSMISSIBILITY, from a strain far less contagious, and base public policy on that data?
Apples and oranges.
And when we look at the data from the D614G today, we see that the CDC has actually found 50% transmission comes from asymptomatics or presymptomatics.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/more/masking-science-sars-cov2.html
But, now we have a UK strain that is 53-70% more transmissible than the D614G strain dominating now.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/more/masking-science-sars-cov2.html
But, now we have a UK strain that is 53-70% more transmissible than the D614G strain dominating now.
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/12/what-is-the-new-covid-19-strain-that-shut-down-england-u-k.html
That strain showed up in September in the UK.
It is most likely here already.
Guess what country is not stopping air travel to and from the UK, but requiring a negative CoVid test, so easily for poz to slip by?
Guess what country barely does genomic
That strain showed up in September in the UK.
It is most likely here already.
Guess what country is not stopping air travel to and from the UK, but requiring a negative CoVid test, so easily for poz to slip by?
Guess what country barely does genomic
screening?
The USA.
Moving on to the study itself.
Good thread here in which they note that 190 of the 300 asymptomatics were actually infected.
https://twitter.com/AAMortazavi/status/1330148630032945164?s=19
So, that means, we had 190 asymptomatic positive cases.
The researchers went on to test all 1174
The USA.
Moving on to the study itself.
Good thread here in which they note that 190 of the 300 asymptomatics were actually infected.
https://twitter.com/AAMortazavi/status/1330148630032945164?s=19
So, that means, we had 190 asymptomatic positive cases.
The researchers went on to test all 1174
close contacts of the original 300.
Sounds impressive, until you realize that we don't know how many of the 1174 close contacts were close contacts of the 110 or the 190.
Because the 110 were false positives.
We also have no idea of the behaviors of those close contacts.
Sounds impressive, until you realize that we don't know how many of the 1174 close contacts were close contacts of the 110 or the 190.
Because the 110 were false positives.
We also have no idea of the behaviors of those close contacts.
Having just gone through a firestorm of a pandemic, were they wearing masks even with close contacts?
When people are made aware of the true dangers of any situation, their compliance with safety measures goes up drastically.
Much more so in a country that emphasizes utter
When people are made aware of the true dangers of any situation, their compliance with safety measures goes up drastically.
Much more so in a country that emphasizes utter
obedience to their government.
In this study, they went on to suggest that CoVid is weakening.
The prevalence of the D614G strain (everywhere), clearly shows that this is not true.
To conclude...let's not base public policy on studies and data that are no longer applicable.
In this study, they went on to suggest that CoVid is weakening.
The prevalence of the D614G strain (everywhere), clearly shows that this is not true.
To conclude...let's not base public policy on studies and data that are no longer applicable.
