SAGE's new advice is that the R rate might be kept below 1 if schools stay closed in January

They found that closing secondary schools would have a bigger impact than shutting primary schools

If they’re kept open R surges further above 1 https://www.politico.eu/article/coronavirus-uk-government-scientists-close-schools-january-boris-johnson/
SAGE told the PM a New Year national lockdown in England identical to one he ordered in November — during which schools remained open — would not be enough to keep the virus under control

I.e. they want a new national lockdown stronger than November’s https://www.politico.eu/article/coronavirus-uk-government-scientists-close-schools-january-boris-johnson/
SAGE has also told Boris Johnson they are very concerned about the South African Covid variant

It spreads more quickly than the UK strain

And worryingly, SAGE has privately advised ministers that its mutations raise concerns about immune recognition https://www.politico.eu/article/coronavirus-uk-government-scientists-close-schools-january-boris-johnson/
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