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Good interview with @VictorianCHO & @stephenjduckett by @ISAGCOVID19 on Victoria & Australia’s “aggressive suppression”. Plenty of valuable insights. Acceptable at 1.75x speed.
1. Economic activity is constrained by the impacts of the disease itself independent of restrictions
2. Localised restrictions were initiated too late for us. Contact networks extend beyond postcodes.
3. Getting turn around times for testing & contact tracing down was crucial
2. Localised restrictions were initiated too late for us. Contact networks extend beyond postcodes.
3. Getting turn around times for testing & contact tracing down was crucial
4. Modelling was important for determining when to lift restrictions
5. Transmission in our primary schools was less likely than in high schools. Future school closures could be limited to older children or we could choose to significantly elevate mitigations for them.
5. Transmission in our primary schools was less likely than in high schools. Future school closures could be limited to older children or we could choose to significantly elevate mitigations for them.
6. Mandated masks as an isolated intervention reduced community transmission by ~25% and while this likely brought R0 to below 1 it would have taken too long to reduce disease burden hence the introduction of stage 4 restrictions.
