next we want to know how many attempts does it take to find a manager who -after a stellar year- will outperform year after year (does 60/40 or better instead of 50/50)
=> it will take 143 years to find the guys
beware of survivorship bias
=> it will take 143 years to find the guys
beware of survivorship bias
there are winners of course
If 90%+ of all participants lose all the time then someone must make a mountain of dough
you guessed it its the casino
=> 251 trading days, winning on 220 and winning big
want to be successful at this, we need to emulate the casino's behavior, simple
If 90%+ of all participants lose all the time then someone must make a mountain of dough
you guessed it its the casino
=> 251 trading days, winning on 220 and winning big
want to be successful at this, we need to emulate the casino's behavior, simple
what is "casino behavior"?
a) have a process
b) understand structure
c) accumulate clandestinely over time
d) distribute in Pareto 80/20 fashion
e) govern market participant's emotions
a) have a process
b) understand structure
c) accumulate clandestinely over time
d) distribute in Pareto 80/20 fashion
e) govern market participant's emotions
the "Rule of 72" shows that we can double every ten years, if we can re-invest and compound at a certain % rate
it all starts with your income and savings rate = how much money can you save and put to work periodically..?
it all starts with your income and savings rate = how much money can you save and put to work periodically..?