I thought I'd play with some #COVID19Vaccine numbers. For Ontario to vaccinate 75% of 18+ by 9/1, right now we'd need to do 251k first doses per week. Phase 1 calls for priority healthcare workers, but I asked myself, what if Phase 1 worked. What would we need then? A thread.

If the 2M doses (so 1M vaccinated) happens by March 1st, that'd mean about 90k people got vaccinated each week since 12/14 start. But we'd have 8.2M still needing vaccine, or 313K per week to hit 9/1/21 deadline. Ok, more doses on hand might make that possible but....

Come March 1st, with 1M already vaccinated, we'd need 47 sites, operating 16 hours per day, doing one dose per minute to get everyone done by September 1.

I'm oversimplifying & my PhD is in Social Policy, not epidemiology, so feel free to correct these #'s.

I'll just add, I picked September 1 because that gets vaccination complete before fall. Also, because my little sister is getting married in September in the US and I'd really like to be able to go. US estimates they'll be done by July 1.

While this tweet is getting a lot of views I'll shill for my main research project:
Do you grow #cannabis? We're ( @GCCRC_Canada) part of an international team studying growing practices. Survey at http://www.worldwideweed.nl . Help us get good info ahead of '21 Cannabis Act review.