run out of reasons?

um, guys, this has been obvious for months: covid comes in seasonal/regional surges.

when it's your season, you get covid. lockdowns, masks, & travel bans do nothing. 100 years of pandemic guidelines said so

there's no mystery. https://www.politico.com/news/2020/12/23/california-covid-surge-450315

california just had a late season so they fooled themselves into thinking that their actions were stopping the virus.

just like peru. just like argentina. just like eastern europe.

but it was never true, it was just wearing baby oil at night and mistaking it for sunscreen.

the good news is that despite the tall tales about "no herd immunity" the hard hit areas are showing just that.

NY is having a testdemic, not an epidemic. they are at 12% of april levels on cases on a testing adjusted level. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1340300025369423875?s=20

this looks very different from the raw cases number being reported. not adjusting for sample rate is a bush league mistake.

and the deaths conform the case adjustment. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1340300028754145280?s=20

but CA who did not have a real first surge apart from a bit in the south is now experiencing seasonality.

and that's the whole story.

the rest is just hand waving and justification. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1340300037285437441?s=20

we've seen this all over the world.

anyone still expressing bafflement about the seasonal and regional nature of this virus has simply not been paying attention. https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1329061542571216900?s=20