It seems something went wrong in the #Brexit negotiations this evening

But *what* exactly?

A 🧵
Yes, we have had "we're almost there" moments before

But we have not had one quite like this evening - where briefings from both 🇬🇧 and 🇪🇺 sources were indicating that a Deal was on
Even normally level headed journalists like @AlbertoNardelli @tconnellyRTE @pmdfoster seemed to think it was on, or at least very close

There were even rumours of statements from vdL (from @georgvh) and that a statement would come from Johnson (from @dianayz & others)
And then there was silence for an hour

And then there was nothing

All off, until tomorrow
The key to what happened is, I think, in this from Sebastian Fischer, COREPER II Spokesperson for Germany's Presidency of the Council of the EU: https://twitter.com/SFischer_EU/status/1341798424455372803
Any such briefing to Ambassadors would normally happen *before* any Deal was in the offing, and here we have a flat rejection that it will even happen tomorrow
Also that any Deal would happen so fast - given that we knew there were a whole slew of outstanding issues just this morning, not least 🎣, 🚗🔋, and some loose ends of LPF - had given me some pause for thought
I think then that Simon Usherwood has the essence of it - that one side was trying to bounce the other into a Deal - or perhaps even the negotiators in Brussels were trying to bounce capitals into a Deal https://twitter.com/Usherwood/status/1341818675297472517
Fischer not mincing his words would be consistent with that - the Member States of the EU are not ready for this - for reasons we do not yet know
The problem of course is one of trust - a commodity that has been in short supply throughout the negotiations to date. 🇪🇺 does not trust 🇬🇧 - at least since September and the fiasco of the Internal Market Bill
If it were 🇬🇧 trying to bounce 🇪🇺 into a Deal... well, you don't try that and not expect there to be any consequences
This evening is not insignificant. We were - at least earlier in the evening - probably closer to a Deal than we have ever been before, although what happened subsequently may put a ❓ over it all once more
Tomorrow we might know...

/ends
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