My 1st 2021 publication;-) I proudly present: 'Payments by modelled results: A novel design for agri-environmental schemes' (joint work with @NilsDroste @guweller and others)
https://authors.elsevier.com/a/1cHf5yDvMFZum  (50 days free access)
CC @BonaRes4u
A short

Starting point was the realization that while result-based agri-environmental payments are theoretically superior (see http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10640-016-0002-x), they face two challenges: measurement of 'results' and payment uncertainty for farmers /1

Therefore, in some contexts (e.g. payments for soil functions, our @BonaRes4u-based example) it may be a solution to provide AE payments for modelled results, rather than capitulating and going for crude action-based payments /2

This conceptual figure shows illustratively how such a payments by modelled results (PAMR) scheme could work (great graphical work by William Sidemo-Holm!) /3

Of course, PAMR won't work everywhere. In many cases, conventional result-based schemes are feasible and preferrable; in others, lack of sufficiently powerful models will prevent PAMR and we have to make do with action-based payments (for now!) /4

Still, we argue that PAMR combines many advantages of result-based and action-based schemes, respectively. /5

Furthermore, it adds two genuine advantages of its own: (i) the ability to simultaneously consider multiple env objectives (e.g. multiple #soil functions in our example) and (ii) the capacity to consider long-term effects. /6

Overall, a great collaboration which originated in a 3-hrs open brainstorming meeting at @lunduniversity, where I stopped on my way to Uppsala. Most productive stopover ever, only possible because I didn't want to take the plane. #flyless /end