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#PremierLeague model update following GW14.
We are now living in a world that is so upside down that Solskjaer's Man United are more tilted towards Attack stylistically then Guardiola's Man City! Fun!
We are now living in a world that is so upside down that Solskjaer's Man United are more tilted towards Attack stylistically then Guardiola's Man City! Fun!
We can also sound the klaxon for the first point in the season at which the model is predicting Liverpool to win the league above City: it's now, post-GW14 & Liverpool's demolition of Crystal Palace.
Also:
~ United closing on Chelsea for 3rd
~ Spurs aren't in the title race
Also:
~ United closing on Chelsea for 3rd
~ Spurs aren't in the title race
Overall, City are still the team with the best expected goal difference dominance (my measure of strength), but not by enough to be favourites for the title.
Villa continue to impress; Fulham also getting something together, but might not be enough.
SHU & WBA pretty doomed IMO.
Villa continue to impress; Fulham also getting something together, but might not be enough.
SHU & WBA pretty doomed IMO.
We notice that there is a rather weak correlation between current points and my expectation of predicted subsequent points this season.
For example, Spurs have 4pts more than City, but I expect City to score ~20pts more than them over the remaining games.
For example, Spurs have 4pts more than City, but I expect City to score ~20pts more than them over the remaining games.
Attack & Defence Ratings
~ United seriously shifting gears - look out for their attack!
~ Leeds attack up to 7th best in PL, while defence down to 3rd worst! Model beginning to better reflect popular narrative.
~ Chelsea & City continue to become more conservative.
~ Target WBA!
~ United seriously shifting gears - look out for their attack!
~ Leeds attack up to 7th best in PL, while defence down to 3rd worst! Model beginning to better reflect popular narrative.
~ Chelsea & City continue to become more conservative.
~ Target WBA!
