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Over 1 in 4 people in the USA is infected with or has been infected with #COVID19. I think about that every time I walk through the hospital, passing hundreds of people every day. You should think about that too before you decide to hang out with friends or gather this holiday.
Math:
17.9M cases as of today, conservative ascertainment bias of 5x=89.5M cases/328.2M total population=27.3%=1:3.7 people
Ascertainment bias lifted from people smarter than me: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-020-01000-9
17.9M cases as of today, conservative ascertainment bias of 5x=89.5M cases/328.2M total population=27.3%=1:3.7 people
Ascertainment bias lifted from people smarter than me: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-020-01000-9
Balance this grim outlook w/ my risk of death being far less than 1% based on this tool: https://covid19risktools.com:8443/riskcalculator
But remember over half of Americans have risk factors. And the discussion is not a simple live vs die dichotomy. Many end up as covid long haulers w/ chronic issues.
But remember over half of Americans have risk factors. And the discussion is not a simple live vs die dichotomy. Many end up as covid long haulers w/ chronic issues.
