For all the "force the vote" people out there, I want to simply illustrate the difference between what you think will happen and what will actually happen.

WHAT YOU THINK WILL HAPPEN: mainstream Dems, afraid of primary pressure, will get 218 sigs--the vast majority of the caucus--to sign a discharge petition forcing a floor vote on M4A.

WHAT WILL ACTUALLY HAPPEN: nothing because no amount of pressure from Jimmy Dore is going to make Dems impose such a divisive vote on themselves. If you do get a discharge, it will be because Reeps sense an opportunity and pass their own around, hoping to be joined by some progs.

But let's say a vote happens. WHAT YOU THINK WILL HAPPEN: The bill fails, ideally narrowly, presenting an opportunity for primary challenges across the country that convince Dems that the need to support M4A or lose their seats, resulting in an M4A majority in the 117th Congress.

WHAT WILL ACTUALLY HAPPEN: The bill fails 335-100, a bunch of primaries are organized, and maybe 3-4 of them actually succeed. The left splits its caucus, accrues massive bad will, gets a humiliating vote result, and does nothing to change the complexion of Congress.

The reason that people who are responsible for trying to get M4A passed, like AOC, don't want a vote is because they know it will set the cause back, while a bunch of Youtubers and podcasters do want it, because they actually make money off of range audiences.

The economic determinism at work in the M4A debate on the left right now is actually on the side of the podcasters and Youtubers, who make more money off of enraged failure than long-term, organized success. Not AOC receiving contributions from Amazon workers.