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1/ For those who like long, data-driven updates (290 days since 1st positive)(30 days since last COVID data post):
Opinion:
1. We have 2 huge issues affecting us: (a) 2021 is lost & we don't want to hear it & (b) we in Pickens Co are not doing our part to limit the spread ...
Opinion:
1. We have 2 huge issues affecting us: (a) 2021 is lost & we don't want to hear it & (b) we in Pickens Co are not doing our part to limit the spread ...
2/ 2. In April, some thought covid wasn't going to touch us. In May, some thought the summer would kill it. In Oct, some thought it would vanish after the election. Now, people believe it is over with the vaccines. Idk how to be more blunt, but 2021 will be another covid year ...
3/ I understand we all have covid fatigue but this virus doesn't care about our emotional well-being.
3. The current math does not add to a covid-free world. To reach herd immunity, 70% seems to be a reasonable number to most scientists. W Biden making it a goal to have 100m ..
3. The current math does not add to a covid-free world. To reach herd immunity, 70% seems to be a reasonable number to most scientists. W Biden making it a goal to have 100m ..
4/ people vaccinated by May 1, that's only 30% of the pop. 17.5m Americans have been confirmed positive (5%). Even if we triple unconfirmed (15%), we're sitting at just 50% of the pop immune by May 1. Under this timeframe, even w exploding infections/deaths & vaccinations ...
5/ ramping up, we'll be lucky to reach herd immunity by July & it'll still mean 1/3 of the pop is w/out protection. All of this is contingent upon (a) antibodies & the vaccine lasting longer than than a yr. If not, those early confirmed & unconfirmed positives will start to ...
6/ become re-infected & (b) covid not mutating making the vaccines ineffective.
4. Regardless, vaccine distribution doesn't matter when we're not limiting the spread. W current level of spread, even w 95% effective vaccines, we'll still have 200k deaths in the next 90 days ...
4. Regardless, vaccine distribution doesn't matter when we're not limiting the spread. W current level of spread, even w 95% effective vaccines, we'll still have 200k deaths in the next 90 days ...
7/ It's counterintuitive, but we would have less deaths with a 50% effective vaccine but w infection spread back to pre-Thanksgiving numbers (35k daily cases vs. 200k). Thus, limiting gatherings & masking is more pro-life than a vaccine is right now. Plainly stated, we have ...
8/ entered into the worst of the pandemic with over 2,000 people dying daily through March & the only thing that'll reduce it is limiting spread, not the vaccine.
5. Pickens Co has the worst infection rates in the state. 100+ people/day are testing positive. I use a Ga Tech
5. Pickens Co has the worst infection rates in the state. 100+ people/day are testing positive. I use a Ga Tech
9/ tool to assess risk in gatherings. Before Thanksgiving, a gathering of 15 people in Pickens Co meant there was a 28% chance someone in the group has covid. Now, 15 people means there is a 54% someone has covid.
6. We've been warning about it for some time now, but the ...
6. We've been warning about it for some time now, but the ...
10/ worst is predicted to be late Jan. This will be the Thanksgiving/Christmas/New Year's Eve spike. Despite dire warnings, looking back at my posts, I have been too conservative. I wish I could see my late Jan post now so I could somehow warn my constituents to just stay away ..
11/ from people as much as possible.
7. We’re in this together. Respect differing opinions. Love one another. Empathize with people's stress on health, finances, & liberties. Wash your hands & wear a mask.
Positives
1. Pfizer and Moderna vaccines have been approved for ...
7. We’re in this together. Respect differing opinions. Love one another. Empathize with people's stress on health, finances, & liberties. Wash your hands & wear a mask.
Positives
1. Pfizer and Moderna vaccines have been approved for ...
12/ emergency use by the FDA. The first Pfizer vaccines have been provided. South Carolina has received 42,900 doses so far (less than 1% of the pop).
2. At least 556k people have received their 1st dose of vaccine in US. Tracker here: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/covid-19-vaccine-doses.html?campaign_id=9&emc=edit_nn_20201220&instance_id=25246&nl=the-morning®i_id=107237701&segment_id=47427&te=1&user_id=23c0f97e3420234788016df38b3a25b2. I asked DHEC ...
2. At least 556k people have received their 1st dose of vaccine in US. Tracker here: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/covid-19-vaccine-doses.html?campaign_id=9&emc=edit_nn_20201220&instance_id=25246&nl=the-morning®i_id=107237701&segment_id=47427&te=1&user_id=23c0f97e3420234788016df38b3a25b2. I asked DHEC ...
13/ about a dashboard. They hope to have one at the start of the year.
3. Vitamin D deficiency markedly increases the chance of having severe disease after infection with SARS Cov-2. Doesn't hurt, take a vitamin D pill.
4. Find where you are in line to the vaccine in this ...
3. Vitamin D deficiency markedly increases the chance of having severe disease after infection with SARS Cov-2. Doesn't hurt, take a vitamin D pill.
4. Find where you are in line to the vaccine in this ...
14/ hypothetical tool: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/12/03/opinion/covid-19-vaccine-timeline.html
5. If you're offered a vaccine, please take it for others: https://www.greenvilleonline.com/story/opinion/2020/12/20/opinion-why-get-covid-vaccine-love-halle/3920195001/?fbclid=IwAR3ynlNWPwNDpNxuh4ZBvMdVNQ0aWZJoJe6xpLgRlHxTWGOjYYgFlZKKdZg
6. By Fri night, the CDC said it had identified 6 cases of anaphylaxis, a serious allergic reaction to the vaccine out of 270k vaccinations so far .
5. If you're offered a vaccine, please take it for others: https://www.greenvilleonline.com/story/opinion/2020/12/20/opinion-why-get-covid-vaccine-love-halle/3920195001/?fbclid=IwAR3ynlNWPwNDpNxuh4ZBvMdVNQ0aWZJoJe6xpLgRlHxTWGOjYYgFlZKKdZg
6. By Fri night, the CDC said it had identified 6 cases of anaphylaxis, a serious allergic reaction to the vaccine out of 270k vaccinations so far .
15/ Negatives
1. There is uncontrolled transmission ... nationally, in the state, & in Pickens Co. 58 days ago, I wrote, "the US hit a record high number of confirmed daily coronavirus cases, recording more than 83,000 new cases." 30 days ago, the US recorded 185,000 ...
1. There is uncontrolled transmission ... nationally, in the state, & in Pickens Co. 58 days ago, I wrote, "the US hit a record high number of confirmed daily coronavirus cases, recording more than 83,000 new cases." 30 days ago, the US recorded 185,000 ...
16/ Yesterday, the US recorded 201,490 cases. Roughly 1.6% of positive cases result in deaths in 3 wks, which means we will have sustained 3,000+ deaths a day in 3 wks.
2. Deaths in SC have increased from 3,949 to 4,566. That's 617 deaths in the past 30 days (20.6 deaths/day) ..
2. Deaths in SC have increased from 3,949 to 4,566. That's 617 deaths in the past 30 days (20.6 deaths/day) ..
17/ IMHE now has SC at a minimum of 5,229 deaths by Jan 1 (revised upward from 4,405 thirty days ago & 4,673 fifty-eight days ago). For future posts, IMHE projects a minimum of 7,305 deaths in SC by April 1. Pickens Co has experienced 117 deaths (45 deaths in the past 30 days) ..
18/ 3. Deaths in the US are at 315,260. That's 63,545 deaths in the past 30 days (2,118 per day). IMHE is now forecasting 345k deaths by Jan 1 & 561k by April 1. IMHE is forecasting at least 2,400 deaths/day thru April 1.
4. 1,471 South Carolinians are currently hospitalized ...
4. 1,471 South Carolinians are currently hospitalized ...
19/ This is up from 808 thirty days ago & 718 fifty-eight days ago. 159 SCarolinians are on a ventilator, up from 106 thirty days ago & 96 fifty-eight days ago. Hospitalization tool created by Univ of Minnesota: https://carlsonschool.umn.edu/mili-misrc-covid19-tracking-project
5. 980k people passed thru airport ...
5. 980k people passed thru airport ...
20/ security on 11/15/20, nearly 4x what passed thru on 5/15/20.
6. Clemson Univ reports 5,557 positives since June 5. That's 370 positives in the past 30 days.
7. UofSC reports 3,221 positives since August 1. That's 354 positives in the past 30 days.
8. As of 12/11, SDPC ...
6. Clemson Univ reports 5,557 positives since June 5. That's 370 positives in the past 30 days.
7. UofSC reports 3,221 positives since August 1. That's 354 positives in the past 30 days.
8. As of 12/11, SDPC ...
21/ reported 76 students and 26 staff currently positive with 646 students and 71 staff quarantined.
9. More evidence is coming out that people with COVID-19 are suffering from cognitive effects, such as brain fog and fatigue.
10. Viruses mutate. Covid has & will continue to ..
9. More evidence is coming out that people with COVID-19 are suffering from cognitive effects, such as brain fog and fatigue.
10. Viruses mutate. Covid has & will continue to ..
22/ mutate. A new variant in the UK allegedly is 70% more transmissible. This doesn't mean the mortality rate is higher or that the vaccines won't work. It's too early to tell.
11. Covid deaths are underreported. "There are concerns, however, that reported Covid-19 deaths are ..
11. Covid deaths are underreported. "There are concerns, however, that reported Covid-19 deaths are ..
23/ not capturing the true impact of coronavirus on mortality around the world. The FT has gathered & analyzed data on excess mortality — the numbers of deaths over & above the historical average — across the globe, & has found that numbers of deaths in some countries are more ..
24/ than 50% higher than usual. These excess deaths exceed reported numbers of Covid deaths by large margins."
Cases:
March: 186,200
April: 883,199
May: 723,166
June: 845,736
July: 1,926,970
August: 1,479,756
September: 1,215,901
October: 1,940,522
November: 4,252,822
...
Cases:
March: 186,200
April: 883,199
May: 723,166
June: 845,736
July: 1,926,970
August: 1,479,756
September: 1,215,901
October: 1,940,522
November: 4,252,822
...
25/ Deaths:
March: 3,768
April: 58,960
May: 42,099
June: 23,416
July: 26,164
August: 30,234
September: 23,341
October: 23,691
November: 35,983
For Local Covid Testing & Sources: http://www.CollinsforSC.com
March: 3,768
April: 58,960
May: 42,099
June: 23,416
July: 26,164
August: 30,234
September: 23,341
October: 23,691
November: 35,983
For Local Covid Testing & Sources: http://www.CollinsforSC.com
